Real Estate Investing in Bernhards Bay, New York (13028)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Oswego County • Population: 913 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 13028 (Bernhards Bay, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (73/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 46.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Bernhards Bay, NY (13028)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $241,822
Avg Monthly Rent $1,125
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $87,356
% Renters 4.9%

Market Analysis: 13028 Bernhards Bay

On the rental side, ZIP 13028 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $242K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The investment case in 13028 is robust only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $242K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

In practical terms, 13028 offers a low basis, the region around Bernhards Bay has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

On balance, 913 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 13028 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bernhards Bay:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+15.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,125/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Syracuse, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
23 days
Average time to sell
Fast
7.7%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Syracuse, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 13028

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+10.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$83,184/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $177,603 $1,250 5.1% +10.1% $88,801
3BR $249,551 $1,510 4.4% +9.8% $83,184

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$254K$219K$185K$150K$115K$81KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 13028 Compare?

Metric 13028 Bernhards Bay Syracuse, NY New York
Home Value $241,822 $241,822 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 9.2% 9.2% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,125 $1,125 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 13028? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 13028 (Bernhards Bay, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+9.2%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Syracuse, NY metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
29%
Days Pending
0/2
23 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $241,822
Monthly Rent $1,125
Price-to-Rent 17.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.6%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 12.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +15.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +9.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
46.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+9.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 13028

Population: 913

💰 Median Household Income
$87,356
This area
$87,356
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.9 years
This area
46.9 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
46.9%
This area
46.9%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.2%
Other/Mixed 7.8%
Hispanic/Latino 6.2%
👶 Under 18
24.1%
This area
24.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.3%
This area
19.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Pomeroy College of Nursing at Crouse Hospital
179 students · 14.6 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bernhards Bay, NY a smart market for rental property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Bernhards Bay, NY reflects its $242K prices and $1,125/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within NY.

How strong is tenant demand in Bernhards Bay, NY?

Working renters make up the core of the Bernhards Bay, NY tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Bernhards Bay, NY?

Occupancy in Bernhards Bay, NY runs reliable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,125/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Does Bernhards Bay, NY favor landlords or tenants?

Bernhards Bay, NY operates under NY law, which is tenant-protective overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

What is the typical rental rate in Bernhards Bay, NY?

The typical rental in Bernhards Bay, NY commands about $1,125/mo monthly. That rent profile even-keeled cash flow against the $242K purchase basis.

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How 13028 ranks in Syracuse, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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