Real Estate Investing in Lincoln, California (95648)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Placer County • Population: 56,597 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95648 (Lincoln, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.4% CAGR).
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Lincoln, CA (95648)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $645,788
Avg Monthly Rent $2,920
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $100,112
% Renters 17.2%

Market Analysis: 95648 Lincoln

ZIP 95648 inside Placer County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $646K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The investment case in 95648 is resilient only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $646K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

ZIP 95648's metrics run below Placer County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

A healthy renter share of 17% in 95648 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategically, 95648 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lincoln:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,920/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
46 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.9%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95648

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$151,880/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $445,063 $2,260 3.7% +3.0% $445,063
2BR $626,969 $2,780 3.2% +3.0% $313,485
3BR $569,373 $3,700 4.7% +4.6% $189,791
4BR $658,948 $4,270 4.7% +4.9% $164,737
5BR $759,398 +5.1% $151,880

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$731K$630K$529K$428K$327K$226KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,130$2,874$2,617$2,361$2,104$1,848Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95648 Compare?

Metric 95648 Lincoln Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA California
Home Value $645,788 $645,788 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 1.4% 1.4% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,920 $2,920 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95648 (Lincoln, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Placer County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

B and B Real Estate offers houses for sale, realtor services, houses for rent, short term rentals, and vacation properties. summary from their website

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Expert Property Management provides services for residential, commercial, multi-family, co-living, and mid-term rental properties in Sacramento. summary from their website

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One Nest Real Estate & Property Management provides real estate and property management services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.4%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $645,788
Monthly Rent $2,920
Price-to-Rent 18.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.4%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 4.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95648

Population: 56,597

💰 Median Household Income
$100,112
This area
$100,112
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.2%
This area
17.2%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
36.1%
This area
36.1%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.6 years
This area
44.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 77.2%
Other/Mixed 15.3%
Hispanic/Latino 9.9%
Asian 6.1%
Black/African American 1.5%
👶 Under 18
22.8%
This area
22.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
27.2%
This area
27.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95648

C+ Avg School Grade
15 Schools
23.9:1 Avg Class Size
$14,451 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Carlin C. Coppin Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
432 Students
👨‍🏫
21.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Creekside Oaks Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
526 Students
👨‍🏫
21.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

First Street Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
389 Students
👨‍🏫
20.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Foskett Ranch Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
416 Students
👨‍🏫
20.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Glen Edwards Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
798 Students
👨‍🏫
21.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Lincoln Crossing Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
455 Students
👨‍🏫
21.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Lincoln High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,192 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Scott M. Leaman

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
547 Students
👨‍🏫
23.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
B Good

Twelve Bridges Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
697 Students
👨‍🏫
25.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
C+ Average

Phoenix High (Continuation)

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
109 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
C+ Average

Twelve Bridges Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
924 Students
👨‍🏫
24.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
C+ Average

Twelve Bridges High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,247 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

John Adams Academy - Lincoln

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
1,420 Students
👨‍🏫
23.8:1 Class Size
💰
$9,390 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

Horizon Charter

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
1,572 Students
👨‍🏫
26.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,260 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

ATLAS Learning Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
86 Students
👨‍🏫
48.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,932 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

5 Nearby 3,745 Off-Campus Students
C
William Jessup University
1,484 students · 7.4 mi
C+
Sierra College
17,420 students · 10.8 mi
C+
Medical Career College of Northern California
10 students · 14.1 mi
C+
Hoss Lee Academy
97 students · 14.2 mi
C+
Citrus Heights Beauty College
110 students · 14.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,745 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of tenants rent in Lincoln, CA?

The tenant pool in Lincoln, CA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $2,920/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

How landlord-friendly is Lincoln, CA?

For rental operators, Lincoln, CA rates as tenant-protective. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

What price range are homes in Lincoln, CA?

Typical homes in Lincoln, CA go for around $646K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% stable price movement.

How quickly do rentals get leased in Lincoln, CA?

Occupancy in Lincoln, CA runs predictable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $2,920/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

What do rentals go for in Lincoln, CA?

Rent in Lincoln, CA is around $2,920/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $646K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

You know 95648 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95648 ranks in Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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