Real Estate Investing in Dumfries, Virginia (22026)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 22026 (Dumfries, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.
A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.
No major risk flags on the data we track.
What’s happening in Dumfries, VA (22026)?
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Market Analysis: 22026 Dumfries
Looking more closely, ZIP 22026 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $580K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.
The investment case in 22026 is durable only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $580K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.
ZIP 22026's metrics run below Prince William County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.
A substantial renter share of 32% in 22026 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.
looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Dumfries:
Property Strategy for 22026
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2BR | $346,498 | $2,000 | 4.2% | +6.1% | $173,249 |
| 3BR | $469,266 | $2,520 | 3.9% | +6.3% | $156,422 |
| 4BR | $655,654 | $2,970 | 3.3% | +6.3% | $163,914 |
| 5BR | $794,879 | — | — | +6.3% | $158,976 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
Rent History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 22026 Compare?
| Metric | 22026 | Dumfries | Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $580,380 | $582,302 | $403,170 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% |
| Avg Rent | $3,296 | $3,019 | - |
| Cap Rate | 4.4% | 4.0% | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.
Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22026 (Dumfries, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $580,380 |
| Monthly Rent | $3,296 |
| Price-to-Rent | 14.7:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 6.8% |
| Cap Rate | 4.4% |
| 5-Year IRR | 7.9% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | +0.8% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +2.5% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +3.4% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +5.1% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | +12.1% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | N/A |
| 5-Year CAGR | N/A |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 22026
Population: 21,025
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 22026
Schools in This ZIP Code
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home value in Dumfries, VA?
Expect median prices around $580K in Dumfries, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been consistent.
What is it like being a landlord in Dumfries, VA?
VA ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Dumfries generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.
Can I house hack in Dumfries, VA?
Dumfries, VA is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $580K price point reasonable to enter.
Does Dumfries, VA make sense for an investment property?
The 3.0/5 investability rating in Dumfries, VA reflects its $580K prices and $3,296/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within VA.
How strong is the working-renter base in Dumfries, VA?
Tenant demand in Dumfries, VA is solid. The local workforce $3,296/mo rents across most rental classes.
You know 22026 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 22026 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
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