Real Estate Investing in Dumfries, Virginia (22025)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Prince William County • Population: 18,934 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22025 (Dumfries, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (76/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Dumfries, VA (22025)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $584,223
Avg Monthly Rent $2,742
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $134,456
% Renters 14.4%

Market Analysis: 22025 Dumfries

This part of Prince William County is not an easy win. The 22025 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 22025 posts the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Turning to rents, 22025 offers a low basis, the region around Dumfries has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

A substantial renter share of 14% in 22025 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The right play in 22025 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Dumfries:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.3× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,742/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22025

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$137,582/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $488,633 $2,650 3.9% +6.0% $244,317
3BR $485,930 $3,340 4.9% +6.6% $161,977
4BR $637,388 $3,930 4.4% +6.2% $159,347
5BR $687,909 +6.1% $137,582

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$616K$542K$469K$395K$321K$247KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,836$2,740$2,645$2,549$2,453$2,357Apr 2025Dec 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22025 Compare?

Metric 22025 Dumfries Virginia
Home Value $584,223 $582,302 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.1% 3.8% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,742 $3,019 -
Cap Rate 3.7% 4.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 22025? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22025 (Dumfries, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $584,223
Monthly Rent $2,742
Price-to-Rent 17.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.6%
Cap Rate 3.7%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +12.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22025

Population: 18,934

💰 Median Household Income
$134,456
This area
$134,456
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
14.4%
This area
14.4%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
56.1%
This area
56.1%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.4 years
This area
38.4 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.9%
This area
2.9%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 61.0%
Black/African American 22.2%
Other/Mixed 12.4%
Hispanic/Latino 6.8%
Asian 4.3%
👶 Under 18
24.3%
This area
24.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.1%
This area
16.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22025

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
19.1:1 Avg Class Size
$15,984 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

A. Henderson Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
819 Students
👨‍🏫
17.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Montclair Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
602 Students
👨‍🏫
18.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

John F. Pattie Sr. Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
895 Students
👨‍🏫
20.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student

Nearby Schools (2 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

Graham Park Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 3613 Graham Park Rd, Triangle
👥
683 Students
👨‍🏫
12.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Triangle Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 3615 Lions Field Rd, Triangle
👥
827 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
D
Paul Mitchell the School-Woodbridge
44 students · 3.9 mi
D
Agora University
0 students · 13.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors worry about vacancy in Dumfries, VA?

Expect elevated vacancy in Dumfries, VA. Rents at $2,742/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Is real estate in Dumfries, VA a good investment right now?

Yes - Dumfries, VA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $584K home prices against $2,742/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

What is the average home sale price in Dumfries, VA?

The median home value in Dumfries, VA is roughly $584K. That puts it reasonable relative to the VA statewide average.

What strategy should investors use in Dumfries, VA?

Dumfries, VA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($584K prices, $2,742/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Are renters plentiful in Dumfries, VA?

Tenant demand in Dumfries, VA is solid. The local workforce $2,742/mo rents across most rental classes.

You know 22025 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 22025 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

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