Real Estate Investing in Lorton, Virginia (22079)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fairfax County • Population: 36,523 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22079 (Lorton, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Lorton, VA (22079)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $681,574
Avg Monthly Rent $2,635
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $133,274
% Renters 25.1%

Market Analysis: 22079 Lorton

Turning to rents, ZIP 22079 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $682K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

For an experienced owner, 22079 can be a an appealing option for hunting ground — but the discount at $682K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

In the broader VA picture, 22079 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The 22079 ZIP's population of 36,523 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that stands at the need for careful underwriting.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. substantial returns are possible in 22079, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lorton:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,635/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22079

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$193,290/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $405,888 $2,740 4.9% +5.3% $202,944
3BR $579,870 $3,460 4.3% +5.1% $193,290
4BR $854,233 $4,060 3.4% +4.9% $213,558
5BR $1,080,875 +5.6% $216,175

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$719K$638K$557K$477K$396K$315KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,721$2,482$2,244$2,005$1,766$1,527Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22079 Compare?

Metric 22079 Lorton Virginia
Home Value $681,574 $681,574 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 3.4% 3.4% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,635 $2,635 -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 22079? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22079 (Lorton, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Fairfax County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CAMP provides HOA community management services for condos and co-ops in VA, MD, and DC. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Chambers Theory provides residential and commercial property management services in Northern Virginia, DC, and MD, with customized plans and guarantees. summary from their website

Commercial
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

HomeRiver Group offers property management, brokerage, rehab and construction, leasing, renewals, and maintenance services for single-family and multi-family homes. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.4%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $681,574
Monthly Rent $2,635
Price-to-Rent 21.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.6%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 6.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +6.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22079

Population: 36,523

💰 Median Household Income
$133,274
This area
$133,274
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
25.1%
This area
25.1%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
55.5%
This area
55.5%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.4 years
This area
38.4 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.2%
This area
5.2%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 38.5%
Black/African American 24.1%
Asian 19.6%
Other/Mixed 17.7%
Hispanic/Latino 12.4%
👶 Under 18
26.1%
This area
26.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.6%
This area
10.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.8%
This area
4.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22079

A Avg School Grade
5 Schools
15.3:1 Avg Class Size
$19,816 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Gunston Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
545 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

South County Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
967 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Laurel Hill Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
736 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Lorton Station Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
748 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B Good

South County High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,200 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 9,284 Off-Campus Students
D
Paul Mitchell the School-Woodbridge
44 students · 5.7 mi
D
Agora University
0 students · 7.3 mi
C
CET-Alexandria
23 students · 9.1 mi
C
Northern Virginia Community College
53,810 students · 10.7 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 11.8 mi
F
Arizona College of Nursing-Falls Church
284 students · 12.5 mi
C
College of Southern Maryland
4,984 students · 13.5 mi
D
Northern Virginia School of Therapeutic Massage
87 students · 13.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 9,284 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors consider Lorton, VA?

Investors tracking Lorton, VA will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $682K median home values and $2,635/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting measured returns.

Does Lorton, VA favor landlords or tenants?

VA law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Lorton inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

How much is rent in Lorton, VA?

Investors in Lorton, VA typically see rents near $2,635/mo per month against $682K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Does house hacking make sense in Lorton, VA?

House hacking in Lorton, VA is a challenging. With home values around $682K and rents at $2,635/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

What is the smart move for investors in Lorton, VA?

The best-fit strategy in Lorton, VA is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

You know 22079 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 22079 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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