Real Estate Investing in Nokesville, Virginia (20181)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Prince William County • Population: 10,128 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 20181 (Nokesville, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (59/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 45.4 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Nokesville, VA (20181)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $818,654
Avg Monthly Rent $1,503
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $155,408
% Renters 10.4%

Market Analysis: 20181 Nokesville

In practical terms, ZIP 20181 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $819K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 20181 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Put differently, 20181 offers a low basis, the region around Nokesville has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

A substantial renter share of 10% in 20181 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. notable returns are possible in 20181, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Nokesville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,503/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20181

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
2.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+8.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$208,471/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $540,698 $1,670 2.2% +7.0% $270,349
3BR $625,412 $2,110 2.4% +6.3% $208,471
4BR $836,673 $2,480 2.1% +7.0% $209,168
5BR $1,085,321 +8.0% $217,064

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$858K$753K$647K$542K$436K$331KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20181 Compare?

Metric 20181 Nokesville Virginia
Home Value $818,654 $818,654 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.8% 4.8% 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,503 $1,503 -
Cap Rate 1.4% 1.4% -
💡 Why Invest in 20181? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20181 (Nokesville, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 20181 (Nokesville, VA)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
1.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $818,654
Monthly Rent $1,503
Price-to-Rent 45.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.2%
Cap Rate 1.4%
5-Year IRR 6.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20181

Population: 10,128

💰 Median Household Income
$155,408
This area
$155,408
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.4%
This area
10.4%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.9%
This area
1.9%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
42.0%
This area
42.0%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.8 years
This area
39.8 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.9%
This area
5.9%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 85.7%
Other/Mixed 7.0%
Black/African American 4.6%
Hispanic/Latino 4.5%
Asian 2.6%
👶 Under 18
26.7%
This area
26.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.2%
This area
13.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.8%
This area
0.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20181

B+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
15.3:1 Avg Class Size
$15,729 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Brentsville District High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
861 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Greenville Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
459 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,346 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Kettle Run High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,189 Students
👨‍🏫
14.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,346 Per Student
B Good

The Nokesville School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
1,175 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Patriot High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,067 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 9.1 mi
C
Ascent College
87 students · 10.3 mi
D
Paul Mitchell the School-Woodbridge
44 students · 14.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the smart move for investors in Nokesville, VA?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Nokesville, VA. The numbers - $819K homes against $1,503/mo rents - support that play.

How much does a house cost in Nokesville, VA?

Nokesville, VA median home values land near $819K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,503/mo-per-month rentals.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Nokesville, VA?

Nokesville, VA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect measured absorption at market rents of $1,503/mo.

Is Nokesville, VA landlord-friendly?

Nokesville, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect even-keeled treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How much rent can I charge in Nokesville, VA?

Investors in Nokesville, VA typically see rents near $1,503/mo per month against $819K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

You know 20181 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 20181 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 20181 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 20181 (Nokesville)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 20181 (Nokesville, VA).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.