Real Estate Investing in Warrenton, Virginia (20187)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fauquier County • Population: 19,428 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20187 (Warrenton, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Warrenton, VA (20187)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $745,192
Avg Monthly Rent $2,748
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $157,763
% Renters 10.5%

Market Analysis: 20187 Warrenton

Stepping back, ZIP 20187 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $745K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Looking more closely, the numbers look inviting — $745K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 20187 is substantial and deserves full respect.

From a cash-flow lens, 20187 offers a low basis, the region around Warrenton has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Demographically, 20187 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. notable returns are possible in 20187, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Warrenton:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,748/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20187

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$183,190/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $495,866 $2,340 3.4% +6.5% $247,933
3BR $576,432 $2,930 3.7% +6.8% $192,144
4BR $771,117 $3,450 3.2% +7.5% $192,779
5BR $915,948 +7.9% $183,190

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$782K$682K$582K$482K$383K$283KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 20187 Compare?

Metric 20187 Warrenton Virginia
Home Value $745,192 $680,244 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.9% 4.8% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,748 $2,447 -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.8% -
💡 Why Invest in 20187? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20187 (Warrenton, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.9%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $745,192
Monthly Rent $2,748
Price-to-Rent 22.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.4%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20187

Population: 19,428

💰 Median Household Income
$157,763
This area
$157,763
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.5%
This area
10.5%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.3%
This area
1.3%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
50.5%
This area
50.5%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.0 years
This area
40.0 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 84.7%
Other/Mixed 7.5%
Black/African American 5.0%
Hispanic/Latino 4.5%
Asian 2.8%
👶 Under 18
25.1%
This area
25.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.1%
This area
15.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.0%
This area
1.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20187

B Avg School Grade
4 Schools
15.2:1 Avg Class Size
$15,346 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Auburn Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
582 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,346 Per Student
B+ Above Average

C. Hunter Ritchie Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
526 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,346 Per Student
B+ Above Average

P.B. Smith Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
405 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,346 Per Student
C Below Average

Mountain Vista Governor's School for Math Science and Tech

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C
Ascent College
87 students · 8.8 mi
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 13.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warrenton in VA worth investing in?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Warrenton, VA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $745K and rents of $2,748/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What is the median home value in Warrenton, VA?

The median home value in Warrenton, VA is roughly $745K. That puts it reasonable relative to the VA statewide average.

Where do rents currently stand in Warrenton, VA?

Rents in Warrenton, VA run near $2,748/mo. Compared with median home prices of $745K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

What approach is best for Warrenton, VA real estate?

In Warrenton, VA the significant play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $745K prices and $2,748/mo rents suits that approach.

Is Warrenton, VA good for landlords?

The landlord environment in Warrenton, VA is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

You know 20187 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 20187 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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