Real Estate Investing in Broad Run, Virginia (20137)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fauquier County • Population: 1,734 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20137 (Broad Run, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (54/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.2% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 28.7 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Broad Run, VA (20137)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $828,704
Avg Monthly Rent $2,403
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $142,395
% Renters 3.2%

Market Analysis: 20137 Broad Run

Investors eyeing 20137 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $829K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

For an experienced owner, 20137 can be a a strong candidate for hunting ground — but the discount at $829K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Regionally, 20137 sits on the difficult end of the VA spectrum. The worth a close look for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The 20137 ZIP's population of 1,734 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that sits at the need for careful underwriting.

New investors are better served looking at Broad Run's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 20137. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Broad Run:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,403/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20137

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+7.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$205,439/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $696,647 $3,380 3.5% +7.5% $232,216
4BR $821,754 $3,970 3.5% +7.8% $205,439

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$870K$758K$647K$536K$424K$313KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20137 Compare?

Metric 20137 Broad Run Virginia
Home Value $828,704 $828,704 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.6% 5.6% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,403 $2,403 -
Cap Rate 2.3% 2.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 20137? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20137 (Broad Run, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.6%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $828,704
Monthly Rent $2,403
Price-to-Rent 28.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.5%
Cap Rate 2.3%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20137

Population: 1,734

💰 Median Household Income
$142,395
This area
$142,395
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.9%
This area
1.9%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
54.9%
This area
54.9%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.1 years
This area
54.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.2%
This area
9.2%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.6%
Other/Mixed 8.2%
Hispanic/Latino 6.8%
Asian 2.6%
Black/African American 0.6%
👶 Under 18
16.7%
This area
16.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
24.0%
This area
24.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.9%
This area
2.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C
Ascent College
87 students · 5.7 mi
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 11.6 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the rental occupancy rate in Broad Run, VA?

Broad Run, VA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect even-keeled absorption at market rents of $2,403/mo.

How much do tenants pay in Broad Run, VA?

Average rent in Broad Run, VA is approximately $2,403/mo per month. Against $829K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

What is the renter demographic in Broad Run, VA?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Broad Run, VA. The rental market absorbs $2,403/mo rents without meaningful friction.

Does Broad Run, VA favor landlords or tenants?

VA ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Broad Run generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Should investors consider Broad Run, VA?

Investors tracking Broad Run, VA will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $829K median home values and $2,403/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting steady returns.

You know 20137 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 20137 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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