Real Estate Investing in Catharpin, Virginia (20143)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 20143 (Catharpin, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.
A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.
- High vacancy: 13.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
- High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 35.3 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.
• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.
What’s happening in Catharpin, VA (20143)?
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Market Analysis: 20143 Catharpin
This part of Prince William County is not an easy win. The 20143 ZIP shows softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.
Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 20143 reports the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.
Within VA, ZIP 20143 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Prince William County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and significant enough to shape underwriting.
Resident income in 20143 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.
New investors are better served looking at Catharpin's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 20143. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Catharpin:
Property Strategy for 20143
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3BR | $809,138 | $3,680 | 3.3% | +7.4% | $269,713 |
| 4BR | $1,169,413 | $4,320 | 2.7% | +8.1% | $292,353 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 20143 Compare?
| Metric | 20143 | Catharpin | Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $1,110,200 | $1,110,200 | $403,170 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% |
| Avg Rent | $2,619 | $2,619 | - |
| Cap Rate | 1.8% | 1.8% | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
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Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20143 (Catharpin, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $1,110,200 |
| Monthly Rent | $2,619 |
| Price-to-Rent | 35.3:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 2.8% |
| Cap Rate | 1.8% |
| 5-Year IRR | 7.3% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | +5.9% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +5.5% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +5.5% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +6.1% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | N/A |
| 3-Year CAGR | N/A |
| 5-Year CAGR | N/A |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 20143
Population: 744
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Investor Insight: With 3,004 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best play in Catharpin, VA?
Catharpin, VA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($1.1M prices, $2,619/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.
How strong is the working-renter base in Catharpin, VA?
The renter base in Catharpin, VA is reasonable for the $2,619/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields measured tenants.
What does house hacking look like in Catharpin, VA?
For house hackers, Catharpin, VA is a tougher. The $2,619/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $1.1M property.
What is the investability score for Catharpin, VA?
Yes - Catharpin, VA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $1.1M home prices against $2,619/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.
Does Catharpin, VA favor landlords or tenants?
Catharpin, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect consistent treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.
You know 20143 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 20143 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
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