Real Estate Investing in Ashburn, Virginia (20148)
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Should you buy in 20148 (Ashburn, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.
A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.
No major risk flags on the data we track.
What’s happening in Ashburn, VA (20148)?
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Market Analysis: 20148 Ashburn
The 20148 ZIP covers a section of Ashburn that demands careful diligence. Prices near $876K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.
Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 20148 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.
Statewide comparisons place 20148 among VA's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.
A substantial renter share of 20% in 20148 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.
New investors are better served looking at Ashburn's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 20148. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ashburn:
Property Strategy for 20148
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BR | $312,686 | $2,600 | 6.0% | +5.0% | $312,686 |
| 2BR | $494,200 | $2,900 | 4.2% | +6.2% | $247,100 |
| 3BR | $705,846 | $3,660 | 3.7% | +6.3% | $235,282 |
| 4BR | $993,882 | $4,300 | 3.1% | +6.9% | $248,471 |
| 5BR | $1,221,748 | — | — | +7.6% | $244,350 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
Rent History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 20148 Compare?
| Metric | 20148 | Ashburn | Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $875,840 | $813,514 | $403,170 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% |
| Avg Rent | $3,305 | $3,116 | - |
| Cap Rate | 2.9% | 3.0% | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.
Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20148 (Ashburn, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $875,840 |
| Monthly Rent | $3,305 |
| Price-to-Rent | 22.1:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 4.5% |
| Cap Rate | 2.9% |
| 5-Year IRR | 6.4% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | -0.3% ▼ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +2.2% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +3.5% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +4.9% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | +7.7% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +5.2% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +6.1% ▲ |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 20148
Population: 63,615
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 20148
Schools in This ZIP Code
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Ashburn in VA worth investing in?
Ashburn, VA stands at an investability rating of 3.0/5, with median home values near $876K and average rents around $3,305/mo. That combination puts it in the robust tier for investor interest.
Are there empty rentals in Ashburn, VA?
Ashburn, VA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.
What is the typical rental rate in Ashburn, VA?
Average rent in Ashburn, VA is approximately $3,305/mo per month. Against $876K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.
How qualified is the tenant pool in Ashburn, VA?
Tenant demand in Ashburn, VA is solid. The local workforce $3,305/mo rents across most rental classes.
Does Ashburn, VA favor landlords or tenants?
The landlord environment in Ashburn, VA is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.
You know 20148 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 20148 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
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