Real Estate Investing in Chantilly, Virginia (20152)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Loudoun County • Population: 36,453 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20152 (Chantilly, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Chantilly, VA (20152)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $844,580
Avg Monthly Rent $3,283
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $183,929
% Renters 15.5%

Market Analysis: 20152 Chantilly

The 20152 ZIP covers a section of Chantilly that demands careful diligence. Prices near $845K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 20152 registers the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Within VA, ZIP 20152 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Loudoun County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and impressive enough to shape underwriting.

A sturdy renter share of 16% in 20152 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

appears to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Chantilly:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,283/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20152

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$215,988/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $448,202 $3,080 4.9% +6.5% $224,101
3BR $647,964 $3,890 4.3% +6.9% $215,988
4BR $984,139 $4,570 3.3% +7.4% $246,035
5BR $1,184,450 +7.7% $236,890

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$894K$789K$684K$579K$473K$368KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,363$3,220$3,076$2,933$2,790$2,647Mar 2023Nov 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20152 Compare?

Metric 20152 Chantilly Virginia
Home Value $844,580 $801,436 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.1% 3.7% 6.4%
Avg Rent $3,283 $3,039 -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 20152? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20152 (Chantilly, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $844,580
Monthly Rent $3,283
Price-to-Rent 21.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 7.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +6.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
0.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20152

Population: 36,453

💰 Median Household Income
$183,929
This area
$183,929
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
15.5%
This area
15.5%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
68.7%
This area
68.7%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.7 years
This area
37.7 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
0.2%
This area
0.2%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 41.6%
Asian 35.4%
Other/Mixed 13.3%
Black/African American 9.7%
Hispanic/Latino 8.1%
👶 Under 18
29.7%
This area
29.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
5.8%
This area
5.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20152

A+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
13.5:1 Avg Class Size
$20,784 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Hutchison Farm Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
660 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Little River Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
708 Students
👨‍🏫
13.2:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Liberty Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
871 Students
👨‍🏫
14.1:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A Very Good

J. Michael Lunsford Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,235 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A Very Good

Freedom High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,968 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,004 Off-Campus Students
D
Divine Mercy University
442 students · 7.1 mi
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 7.3 mi
C
Ascent College
87 students · 8.6 mi
C
Fairfax University of America
25 students · 9.9 mi
C
Dermal Science International Aesthetics and Nail Academy
35 students · 10.4 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 12.3 mi
C+
Avi Career Training
74 students · 13.0 mi
C
Columbia College
239 students · 14.7 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,004 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Chantilly, VA?

The median home value in Chantilly, VA is roughly $845K. That puts it reasonable relative to the VA statewide average.

How strong are rents in Chantilly, VA?

Rents in Chantilly, VA run near $3,283/mo. Compared with median home prices of $845K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

What kind of tenants rent in Chantilly, VA?

The tenant pool in Chantilly, VA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $3,283/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

How tight is the rental market in Chantilly, VA?

Occupancy in Chantilly, VA runs predictable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $3,283/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Is Chantilly, VA landlord-friendly?

Chantilly, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

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How 20152 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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