Real Estate Investing in Haymarket, Virginia (20169)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Prince William County • Population: 28,696 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20169 (Haymarket, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (76/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Haymarket, VA (20169)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $833,573
Avg Monthly Rent $3,637
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $187,446
% Renters 6.7%

Market Analysis: 20169 Haymarket

ZIP 20169 inside Prince William County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $834K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 20169 can be a a solid fit for hunting ground — but the discount at $834K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

The gap between 20169 and stronger Haymarket ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

The 20169 ZIP's population of 28,696 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that clocks in at the need for careful underwriting.

Strategically, 20169 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Haymarket:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 69/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,637/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20169

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$214,179/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $602,504 $3,110 3.7% +4.9% $301,252
3BR $642,536 $3,930 4.4% +6.9% $214,179
4BR $930,638 $4,610 3.6% +7.7% $232,660
5BR $1,109,597 +7.9% $221,919

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$877K$774K$672K$569K$466K$363KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,995$3,851$3,707$3,563$3,419$3,275Oct 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20169 Compare?

Metric 20169 Haymarket Virginia
Home Value $833,573 $833,573 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.2% 4.2% 6.4%
Avg Rent $3,637 $3,637 -
Cap Rate 3.4% 3.4% -
💡 Why Invest in 20169? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20169 (Haymarket, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.2%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $833,573
Monthly Rent $3,637
Price-to-Rent 19.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.2%
Cap Rate 3.4%
5-Year IRR 7.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20169

Population: 28,696

💰 Median Household Income
$187,446
This area
$187,446
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
6.7%
This area
6.7%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
61.4%
This area
61.4%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.3 years
This area
40.3 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 72.7%
Asian 10.2%
Other/Mixed 9.8%
Black/African American 7.3%
Hispanic/Latino 4.8%
👶 Under 18
26.9%
This area
26.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.5%
This area
13.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.2%
This area
1.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20169

B Avg School Grade
6 Schools
17.3:1 Avg Class Size
$15,984 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

J.W. Alvey Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
570 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mountain View Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
450 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Ronald Wilson Reagan Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,344 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Samuel L. Gravely Jr. Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
796 Students
👨‍🏫
19.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Haymarket Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
969 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Battlefield High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,137 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby
C
Ascent College
87 students · 4.7 mi
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 8.9 mi
D
Divine Mercy University
442 students · 13.5 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What strategy should investors use in Haymarket, VA?

For Haymarket, VA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

What is the renter demographic in Haymarket, VA?

The tenant pool in Haymarket, VA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $3,637/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What is the typical rental rate in Haymarket, VA?

Rents in Haymarket, VA run near $3,637/mo. Compared with median home prices of $834K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

How tight is the rental market in Haymarket, VA?

Occupancy in Haymarket, VA runs reliable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $3,637/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Is VA a landlord-friendly state?

For rental operators, Haymarket, VA rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

You know 20169 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 20169 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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