Real Estate Investing in Manassas, Virginia (20109)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Prince William County • Population: 44,161 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20109 (Manassas, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Manassas, VA (20109)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $455,636
Avg Monthly Rent $2,149
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $83,248
% Renters 56.2%

Market Analysis: 20109 Manassas

ZIP 20109 inside Prince William County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $456K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $456K asset, 20109 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Within VA, ZIP 20109 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Prince William County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and resilient enough to shape underwriting.

The demographic picture in 20109 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Manassas averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategically, 20109 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Manassas:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,149/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20109

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$116,643/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $245,082 $1,970 5.8% +6.1% $245,082
2BR $332,472 $2,200 4.8% +7.3% $166,236
3BR $433,373 $2,780 4.6% +6.9% $144,458
4BR $544,387 $3,260 4.3% +6.1% $136,097
5BR $583,215 +5.7% $116,643

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$486K$415K$344K$273K$202K$132KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,226$2,068$1,909$1,750$1,592$1,433Nov 2020Sep 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20109 Compare?

Metric 20109 Manassas Virginia
Home Value $455,636 $559,813 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.9% 4.4% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,149 $2,494 -
Cap Rate 3.7% 3.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 20109? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

56% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20109 (Manassas, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.9%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $455,636
Monthly Rent $2,149
Price-to-Rent 17.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.7%
Cap Rate 3.7%
5-Year IRR 8.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.4% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20109

Population: 44,161

💰 Median Household Income
$83,248
This area
$83,248
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
56.2%
This area
56.2%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.6%
This area
2.6%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
31.9%
This area
31.9%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
32.7 years
This area
32.7 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.0%
This area
5.0%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 50.3%
Other/Mixed 22.7%
Hispanic/Latino 18.9%
Black/African American 17.2%
Asian 9.7%
👶 Under 18
27.1%
This area
27.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.9%
This area
8.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.4%
This area
7.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20109

B+ Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.8:1 Avg Class Size
$15,984 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

George P. Mullen Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
662 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
A Very Good

Sudley Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
610 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
A Very Good

Suella G. Ellis Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
381 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
A Very Good

West Gate Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
521 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

C.A. Sinclair Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
673 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

T. Clay Wood Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
778 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Unity Braxton Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,026 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Unity Reed High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,173 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 3,004 Off-Campus Students
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 0.9 mi
C
Ascent College
87 students · 5.1 mi
C
Fairfax University of America
25 students · 10.6 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 12.3 mi
D
Divine Mercy University
442 students · 13.7 mi
D
Agora University
0 students · 14.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,004 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Manassas, VA?

Median home price in Manassas, VA is near $456K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been measured and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

How much is rent in Manassas, VA?

The typical rental in Manassas, VA commands about $2,149/mo monthly. That rent profile measured cash flow against the $456K purchase basis.

Are tenants stable in Manassas, VA?

Tenant demand in Manassas, VA is solid. The local workforce $2,149/mo rents across most rental classes.

Are landlord laws favorable in Manassas, VA?

VA ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Manassas generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

How do experienced investors play Manassas, VA?

In Manassas, VA the significant play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $456K prices and $2,149/mo rents suits that approach.

You know 20109 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 20109 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 20109 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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