Real Estate Investing in Bristow, Virginia (20136)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Prince William County • Population: 31,204 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20136 (Bristow, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (76/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Bristow, VA (20136)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $744,596
Avg Monthly Rent $3,207
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $171,674
% Renters 7.9%

Market Analysis: 20136 Bristow

The 20136 ZIP covers a section of Bristow that demands careful diligence. Prices near $745K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 20136 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

The gap between 20136 and stronger Bristow ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 20136 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

leans the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bristow:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 73/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.3× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,207/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20136

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$170,635/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $480,289 $3,160 4.7% +6.6% $240,145
3BR $556,041 $3,990 5.2% +6.9% $185,347
4BR $776,182 $4,690 4.4% +7.6% $194,045
5BR $853,174 +7.9% $170,635

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$786K$685K$584K$483K$382K$281KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,223$3,176$3,128$3,081$3,034$2,986Feb 2026May 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20136 Compare?

Metric 20136 Bristow Virginia
Home Value $744,596 $744,596 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.1% 5.1% 6.4%
Avg Rent $3,207 $3,207 -
Cap Rate 3.4% 3.4% -
💡 Why Invest in 20136? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20136 (Bristow, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $744,596
Monthly Rent $3,207
Price-to-Rent 19.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.2%
Cap Rate 3.4%
5-Year IRR 8.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20136

Population: 31,204

💰 Median Household Income
$171,674
This area
$171,674
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
7.9%
This area
7.9%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
55.1%
This area
55.1%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.8 years
This area
36.8 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 65.7%
Other/Mixed 12.4%
Black/African American 11.0%
Asian 10.9%
Hispanic/Latino 6.9%
👶 Under 18
31.2%
This area
31.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
7.6%
This area
7.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.6%
This area
0.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20136

B+ Avg School Grade
6 Schools
16.8:1 Avg Class Size
$15,984 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Bristow Run Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
595 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Cedar Point Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
510 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Chris Yung Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
778 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Piney Branch Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
777 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Victory Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
657 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

E.H. Marsteller Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,182 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 3,004 Off-Campus Students
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 4.5 mi
C
Ascent College
87 students · 6.1 mi
C
Fairfax University of America
25 students · 13.6 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 14.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,004 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average monthly rent in Bristow, VA?

Average rent in Bristow, VA is approximately $3,207/mo per month. Against $745K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Is Bristow, VA better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Bristow, VA best. The market produces even-keeled results for that approach at the $745K price point.

Are homes affordable in Bristow, VA?

Homes in Bristow, VA typically sell near $745K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which reliable long-term demand.

Does Bristow, VA favor landlords or tenants?

VA law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Bristow inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Is Bristow, VA a good market for FHA house hackers?

The a challenging house-hack environment in Bristow, VA reflects the rent-to-price spread. Expect meaningful PITI offset at market rents.

You know 20136 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 20136 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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