Real Estate Investing in Centreville, Virginia (20120)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fairfax County • Population: 42,917 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20120 (Centreville, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (61/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Centreville, VA (20120)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $698,800
Avg Monthly Rent $2,421
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $147,266
% Renters 24.9%

Market Analysis: 20120 Centreville

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Centreville's 20120 ZIP sits at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $699K pricing implies.

Meanwhile, the numbers look inviting — $699K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 20120 is substantial and deserves full respect.

ZIP 20120's metrics run below Fairfax County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The demographic picture in 20120 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Centreville averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

New investors are better served looking at Centreville's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 20120. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Centreville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,421/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20120

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+6.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$191,513/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $308,949 $2,190 5.1% +5.5% $308,949
2BR $415,433 $2,440 4.2% +5.7% $207,716
3BR $574,539 $3,080 3.9% +5.9% $191,513
4BR $838,128 $3,620 3.1% +5.6% $209,532
5BR $1,049,810 +6.1% $209,962

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$738K$651K$565K$479K$392K$306KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,533$2,344$2,156$1,967$1,779$1,590May 2016Jun 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20120 Compare?

Metric 20120 Centreville Virginia
Home Value $698,800 $631,512 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.0% 4.1% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,421 $2,424 -
Cap Rate 2.7% 3.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 20120? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20120 (Centreville, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Fairfax County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CAMP provides HOA community management services for condos and co-ops in VA, MD, and DC. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Chambers Theory provides residential and commercial property management services in Northern Virginia, DC, and MD, with customized plans and guarantees. summary from their website

Commercial
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

HomeRiver Group offers property management, brokerage, rehab and construction, leasing, renewals, and maintenance services for single-family and multi-family homes. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $698,800
Monthly Rent $2,421
Price-to-Rent 24.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.2%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 6.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +1.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20120

Population: 42,917

💰 Median Household Income
$147,266
This area
$147,266
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
24.9%
This area
24.9%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
59.8%
This area
59.8%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.6 years
This area
37.6 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.6%
This area
2.6%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 49.7%
Asian 28.9%
Other/Mixed 15.2%
Hispanic/Latino 10.9%
Black/African American 6.1%
👶 Under 18
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.3%
This area
11.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.6%
This area
5.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20120

A+ Avg School Grade
7 Schools
13.5:1 Avg Class Size
$19,954 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Stone Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
708 Students
👨‍🏫
11.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Cardinal Ridge Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
877 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Cub Run Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
571 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Deer Park Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
553 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

London Towne Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
685 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Powell Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
876 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Virginia Run Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
703 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Bull Run Early Childhood Resource Center

📚 Grade PK Elementary
📍 15301 Lee Highway, Centreville
👥
221 Students
👨‍🏫
10.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Centre Ridge Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 14400 New Braddock Rd, Centreville
👥
658 Students
👨‍🏫
12.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Bull Run Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 15301 Lee Hwy, Centreville
👥
796 Students
👨‍🏫
15.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Centreville Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 14330 Green Trails Blvd, Centreville
👥
773 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mountain View High

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 5775 Spindle Ct, Centreville
👥
142 Students
👨‍🏫
7.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,004 Off-Campus Students
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 4.6 mi
C
Fairfax University of America
25 students · 7.1 mi
C
Ascent College
87 students · 8.5 mi
D
Divine Mercy University
442 students · 8.9 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 9.4 mi
C
Dermal Science International Aesthetics and Nail Academy
35 students · 10.1 mi
D
Agora University
0 students · 12.8 mi
C+
Avi Career Training
74 students · 12.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,004 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Centreville, VA a good place for real estate investing?

Centreville, VA rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $699K and rents near $2,421/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

What approach is best for Centreville, VA real estate?

In Centreville, VA the impressive play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $699K prices and $2,421/mo rents suits that approach.

What do landlords charge for rent in Centreville, VA?

Average rent in Centreville, VA is approximately $2,421/mo per month. Against $699K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Centreville, VA?

Vacancy risk in Centreville, VA is elevated. That supports predictable cash flow for typical rental holds.

Is Centreville, VA suited for a house hack?

Centreville, VA is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $699K price point reasonable to enter.

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How 20120 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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