Real Estate Investing in Herndon, Virginia (20171)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fairfax County • Population: 50,796 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20171 (Herndon, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 27.0 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Herndon, VA (20171)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $811,955
Avg Monthly Rent $2,507
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $155,357
% Renters 43.3%

Market Analysis: 20171 Herndon

ZIP 20171 in Herndon, VA carries a significant set of headwinds. Home values near $812K and rents of $2,507/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $812K asset, 20171 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Put differently, 20171 offers a low basis, the region around Herndon has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

The demographic picture in 20171 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Herndon averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 20171 is an operator game, not a passive one. In practical terms, entry prices of $812K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Herndon:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 65/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.2× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,507/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20171

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$213,430/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $289,973 $2,390 5.9% +2.8% $289,973
2BR $469,341 $2,660 4.1% +4.0% $234,671
3BR $640,290 $3,360 3.8% +4.4% $213,430
4BR $927,467 $3,950 3.1% +4.9% $231,867
5BR $1,097,224 +5.5% $219,445

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$860K$765K$670K$575K$481K$386KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,573$2,383$2,193$2,003$1,813$1,622Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20171 Compare?

Metric 20171 Herndon Virginia
Home Value $811,955 $756,566 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 3.1% 3.5% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,507 $2,458 -
Cap Rate 2.4% 2.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 20171? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 43% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20171 (Herndon, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Fairfax County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CAMP provides HOA community management services for condos and co-ops in VA, MD, and DC. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Chambers Theory provides residential and commercial property management services in Northern Virginia, DC, and MD, with customized plans and guarantees. summary from their website

Commercial
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

HomeRiver Group offers property management, brokerage, rehab and construction, leasing, renewals, and maintenance services for single-family and multi-family homes. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $811,955
Monthly Rent $2,507
Price-to-Rent 27.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.7%
Cap Rate 2.4%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +6.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20171

Population: 50,796

💰 Median Household Income
$155,357
This area
$155,357
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
43.3%
This area
43.3%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
72.8%
This area
72.8%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.1 years
This area
36.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 47.7%
Asian 33.2%
Other/Mixed 11.2%
Black/African American 7.9%
Hispanic/Latino 6.3%
👶 Under 18
23.9%
This area
23.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.1%
This area
9.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20171

A Avg School Grade
8 Schools
15.1:1 Avg Class Size
$19,816 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Crossfield Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
556 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

McNair Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
512 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Oak Hill Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
657 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Floris Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
699 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Fox Mill Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
645 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

McNair Upper Elementary

📚 03 – 06 School
👥
616 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Coates Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
951 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Carson Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
1,381 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Dogwood Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 12300 Glade Dr, Reston
👥
739 Students
👨‍🏫
13.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Hunters Woods Elementary School for the Arts and Sciences

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 2401 Colts Neck Rd, Reston
👥
688 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Sunrise Valley Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 10824 Cross School Rd, Reston
👥
570 Students
👨‍🏫
13.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Terraset Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 11411 Ridge Heights Rd, Reston
👥
611 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Hughes Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
📍 11401 Ridge Heights Rd, Reston
👥
1,001 Students
👨‍🏫
14.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,004 Off-Campus Students
C
Dermal Science International Aesthetics and Nail Academy
35 students · 3.8 mi
D
Divine Mercy University
442 students · 4.4 mi
C
Fairfax University of America
25 students · 5.9 mi
C+
Avi Career Training
74 students · 6.4 mi
C
Columbia College
239 students · 8.0 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 8.1 mi
C
American Massage & Bodywork Institute
105 students · 8.3 mi
C
The Esthetic Institute
107 students · 8.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,004 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical home price in Herndon, VA?

Typical homes in Herndon, VA go for around $812K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% reliable price movement.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Herndon, VA?

VA ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Herndon generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Is house hacking profitable in Herndon, VA?

Herndon, VA offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $2,507/mo rent level.

What is the average monthly rent in Herndon, VA?

Rents in Herndon, VA run near $2,507/mo. Compared with median home prices of $812K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Herndon, VA?

Tenant demand in Herndon, VA is solid. The local workforce $2,507/mo rents across most rental classes.

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How 20171 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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