Real Estate Investing in Herndon, Virginia (20170)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fairfax County • Population: 43,372 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20170 (Herndon, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (61/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Herndon, VA (20170)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $701,176
Avg Monthly Rent $2,409
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $151,136
% Renters 29.8%

Market Analysis: 20170 Herndon

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Herndon's 20170 ZIP posts signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $701K pricing implies.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $701K asset, 20170 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

The gap between 20170 and stronger Herndon ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Demographically, 20170 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

New investors are better served looking at Herndon's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 20170. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Herndon:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,409/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20170

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+5.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$174,977/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $280,076 $2,210 5.7% +4.2% $280,076
2BR $349,953 $2,460 5.1% +5.4% $174,977
3BR $552,661 $3,100 4.0% +5.7% $184,220
4BR $775,461 $3,650 3.4% +5.3% $193,865
5BR $891,090 +5.6% $178,218

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$745K$652K$560K$468K$376K$283KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,547$2,336$2,126$1,916$1,706$1,496Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20170 Compare?

Metric 20170 Herndon Virginia
Home Value $701,176 $756,566 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.0% 3.5% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,409 $2,458 -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 20170? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20170 (Herndon, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Fairfax County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CAMP provides HOA community management services for condos and co-ops in VA, MD, and DC. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Chambers Theory provides residential and commercial property management services in Northern Virginia, DC, and MD, with customized plans and guarantees. summary from their website

Commercial
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HomeRiver Group offers property management, brokerage, rehab and construction, leasing, renewals, and maintenance services for single-family and multi-family homes. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $701,176
Monthly Rent $2,409
Price-to-Rent 24.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.1%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 6.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.1%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20170

Population: 43,372

💰 Median Household Income
$151,136
This area
$151,136
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.8%
This area
29.8%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
58.3%
This area
58.3%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.4 years
This area
35.4 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.1%
This area
3.1%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 48.8%
Other/Mixed 30.0%
Hispanic/Latino 25.7%
Asian 14.8%
Black/African American 6.4%
👶 Under 18
25.1%
This area
25.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.6%
This area
10.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.5%
This area
4.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20170

A Avg School Grade
6 Schools
12.9:1 Avg Class Size
$19,816 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Herndon Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
896 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Clearview Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
627 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Dranesville Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
599 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A Very Good

Hutchison Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
1,015 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Herndon Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
807 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Herndon High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,360 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Forest Grove Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 46245 Forest Ridge Dr., Sterling
👥
537 Students
👨‍🏫
9.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Guilford Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 600 W Poplar Rd, Sterling
👥
538 Students
👨‍🏫
10.6:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Meadowland Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 729 S Sugarland Run Dr, Sterling
👥
396 Students
👨‍🏫
10.1:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Rolling Ridge Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 500 E Frederick Dr, Sterling
👥
516 Students
👨‍🏫
9.8:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Sterling Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 200 W Church Rd, Sterling
👥
418 Students
👨‍🏫
9.2:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
C
Dermal Science International Aesthetics and Nail Academy
35 students · 3.0 mi
D
Divine Mercy University
442 students · 3.1 mi
C+
Avi Career Training
74 students · 4.5 mi
C
Columbia College
239 students · 7.9 mi
C
American Massage & Bodywork Institute
105 students · 8.2 mi
C
The Esthetic Institute
107 students · 9.1 mi
C
Fairfax University of America
25 students · 9.3 mi
C+
Washington University of Science and Technology
1,105 students · 9.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors worry about vacancy in Herndon, VA?

Expect elevated vacancy in Herndon, VA. Rents at $2,409/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Herndon, VA?

Herndon, VA draws a predictable base of working renters. Demand at the $2,409/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How much is rent in Herndon, VA?

Investors in Herndon, VA typically see rents near $2,409/mo per month against $701K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Is housing expensive in Herndon, VA?

Homes in Herndon, VA typically sell near $701K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which even-keeled long-term demand.

Is Herndon in VA worth investing in?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Herndon, VA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $701K and rents of $2,409/mo drive the underlying numbers.

You know 20170 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 20170 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 20170 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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