Real Estate Investing in Gainesville, Virginia (20155)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Prince William County • Population: 37,516 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20155 (Gainesville, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Gainesville, VA (20155)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $753,002
Avg Monthly Rent $2,959
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $147,295
% Renters 14.6%

Market Analysis: 20155 Gainesville

This part of Prince William County is not an easy win. The 20155 ZIP registers softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $753K asset, 20155 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

ZIP 20155's metrics run below Prince William County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

A significant renter share of 15% in 20155 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategy in 20155 is an operator game, not a passive one. From a cash-flow lens, entry prices of $753K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Gainesville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,959/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20155

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$189,844/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $515,233 $3,000 4.2% +5.8% $257,616
3BR $587,255 $3,790 4.6% +6.6% $195,752
4BR $809,297 $4,450 4.0% +7.5% $202,324
5BR $949,220 +7.8% $189,844

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$796K$698K$600K$502K$404K$307KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,123$2,953$2,784$2,614$2,445$2,275Mar 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20155 Compare?

Metric 20155 Gainesville Virginia
Home Value $753,002 $753,002 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 4.5% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,959 $2,959 -
Cap Rate 3.1% 3.1% -
💡 Why Invest in 20155? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20155 (Gainesville, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $753,002
Monthly Rent $2,959
Price-to-Rent 21.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.1%
5-Year IRR 7.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +2.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20155

Population: 37,516

💰 Median Household Income
$147,295
This area
$147,295
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
14.6%
This area
14.6%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
54.7%
This area
54.7%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.9 years
This area
38.9 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 60.5%
Other/Mixed 14.3%
Asian 12.7%
Black/African American 12.6%
Hispanic/Latino 8.5%
👶 Under 18
26.6%
This area
26.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.6%
This area
15.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20155

B Avg School Grade
7 Schools
16.5:1 Avg Class Size
$15,984 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Buckland Mills Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
757 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

George G. Tyler Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
468 Students
👨‍🏫
17.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Glenkirk Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
568 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Bull Run Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,093 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Gainesville Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,363 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
B Good

Gainesville High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,435 Students
👨‍🏫
17.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,984 Per Student
C+ Average

Pace West

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
💰
$15,984 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C
Ascent College
87 students · 0.2 mi
D
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
189 students · 5.8 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How should investors approach Gainesville, VA?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Gainesville, VA. The numbers - $753K homes against $2,959/mo rents - support that play.

How quickly do rentals get leased in Gainesville, VA?

Occupancy in Gainesville, VA runs steady with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $2,959/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

How does Gainesville, VA rate as a rental market?

Yes - Gainesville, VA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $753K home prices against $2,959/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

How expensive is real estate in Gainesville, VA?

Expect median prices around $753K in Gainesville, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been steady.

Is house hacking profitable in Gainesville, VA?

The house hack math a challenging in Gainesville, VA. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,959/mo rents and $753K home values.

You know 20155 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 20155 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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