Real Estate Investing in Middleburg, Virginia (20117)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Loudoun County • Population: 3,248 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20117 (Middleburg, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (36/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 14.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 31.1 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Middleburg, VA (20117)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,194,489
Avg Monthly Rent $3,200
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $128,750
% Renters 28.8%

Market Analysis: 20117 Middleburg

ZIP 20117 inside Loudoun County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $1.2M — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

In practical terms, the numbers look inviting — $1.2M purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 20117 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Within VA, ZIP 20117 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Loudoun County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and notable enough to shape underwriting.

The 20117 ZIP's population of 3,248 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that stands at the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 20117 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Middleburg:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 52/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 9.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,200/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 20117

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
1.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$315,771/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $631,542 $1,590 1.8% +7.2% $315,771
3BR $947,399 $2,010 1.5% +8.9% $315,800
4BR $1,518,565 $2,360 1.1% $379,641
5BR $2,289,468 +8.9% $457,894

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.2M$1.1M$939K$785K$630K$476KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 20117 Compare?

Metric 20117 Middleburg Virginia
Home Value $1,194,489 $1,194,489 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 6.1% 6.1% 6.4%
Avg Rent $3,200 $3,200 -
Cap Rate 2.1% 2.1% -
💡 Why Invest in 20117? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20117 (Middleburg, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.1%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,194,489
Monthly Rent $3,200
Price-to-Rent 31.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.2%
Cap Rate 2.1%
5-Year IRR 8.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.1%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20117

Population: 3,248

💰 Median Household Income
$128,750
This area
$128,750
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
28.8%
This area
28.8%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
56.4%
This area
56.4%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
52.2 years
This area
52.2 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.3%
This area
14.3%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.9%
Black/African American 7.2%
Other/Mixed 3.9%
Hispanic/Latino 2.2%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
19.5%
This area
19.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.8%
This area
25.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.9%
This area
8.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20117

A Avg School Grade
2 Schools
10.3:1 Avg Class Size
$20,784 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Banneker Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
144 Students
👨‍🏫
8.0:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
A Very Good

Middleburg Community Charter

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
137 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,784 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C+
Patrick Henry College
408 students · 10.3 mi
C
Ascent College
87 students · 14.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What investment strategy works best in Middleburg, VA?

Most investors in Middleburg, VA run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

Are homes affordable in Middleburg, VA?

Middleburg, VA median home values land near $1.2M. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $3,200/mo-per-month rentals.

Is real estate in Middleburg, VA a good investment right now?

Middleburg, VA scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $1.2M and rents near $3,200/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

What is the renter demographic in Middleburg, VA?

Tenant quality in Middleburg, VA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report even-keeled occupancy at market rents of $3,200/mo.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Middleburg, VA?

Middleburg, VA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

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How 20117 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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