Real Estate Investing in Upperville, Virginia (20184)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Loudoun County • Population: 504 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20184 (Upperville, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (36/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 52.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 66.6 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Upperville, VA (20184)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,222,781
Avg Monthly Rent $1,530
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $60,469
% Renters 82.6%

Market Analysis: 20184 Upperville

ZIP 20184 inside Loudoun County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $1.2M — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 20184 can be a a strong candidate for hunting ground — but the discount at $1.2M reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Nearby ZIPs in Upperville have seen price recovery that 20184 has not matched. Loudoun County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The demographic picture in 20184 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Upperville averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

appears to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Upperville:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 52/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 20.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,530/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.3M$1.1M$997K$859K$721K$583KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20184 Compare?

Metric 20184 Upperville Virginia
Home Value $1,222,781 $1,222,781 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.1% 5.1% 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,530 $1,530 -
Cap Rate 1.0% 1.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 20184? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

83% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20184 (Upperville, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
1.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,222,781
Monthly Rent $1,530
Price-to-Rent 66.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 1.5%
Cap Rate 1.0%
5-Year IRR 6.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
52.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 20184

Population: 504

💰 Median Household Income
$60,469
This area
$60,469
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
82.6%
This area
82.6%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
7.1%
This area
7.1%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.1 years
This area
46.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
52.1%
This area
52.1%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Hispanic/Latino 40.7%
Other/Mixed 40.7%
White 38.9%
Black/African American 20.4%
👶 Under 18
14.0%
This area
14.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.5%
This area
11.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.7%
This area
9.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C+
Patrick Henry College
408 students · 13.8 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Upperville, VA favor landlords or tenants?

VA law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Upperville inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

How much is rent in Upperville, VA?

The typical rental in Upperville, VA commands about $1,530/mo monthly. That rent profile stable cash flow against the $1.2M purchase basis.

What type of investing works in Upperville, VA?

Upperville, VA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($1.2M prices, $1,530/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

How does Upperville, VA stack up for property investment?

Upperville, VA rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $1.2M and rents near $1,530/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

Is housing expensive in Upperville, VA?

In Upperville, VA the median home value sits at $1.2M. Against the broader VA market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

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How 20184 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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