Real Estate Investing in Madera, California (93638)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Madera County • Population: 51,502 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 93638 (Madera, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 23.6% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.
  • Higher unemployment: 8.5% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

What’s happening in Madera, CA (93638)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $365,775
Avg Monthly Rent $1,778
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $58,200
% Renters 45.5%

Market Analysis: 93638 Madera

This part of Madera County is not an easy win. The 93638 ZIP sits at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $366K asset, 93638 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

In practical terms, 93638 offers a low basis, the region around Madera has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

The 93638 ZIP's population of 51,502 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that sits at the need for careful underwriting.

tilts toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Madera:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,778/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Madera, CA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
61 days
Average time to sell
Slow
6.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Madera, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 93638

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+8.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$86,961/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $252,832 $1,350 3.8% +8.2% $126,416
3BR $350,906 $1,880 3.9% +7.9% $116,969
4BR $394,015 $2,230 4.1% +8.0% $98,504
5BR $434,807 +8.2% $86,961

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$391K$327K$262K$197K$132K$67KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,243$2,142$2,040$1,939$1,837$1,735Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 93638 Compare?

Metric 93638 Madera Madera, CA California
Home Value $365,775 $324,830 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 5.7% 4.5% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,778 $2,136 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.8% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 93638? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 46% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 93638 (Madera, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 93638 (Madera, CA)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.7%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Madera, CA metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
47%
Days Pending
2/2
61 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $365,775
Monthly Rent $1,778
Price-to-Rent 17.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.8%
Cap Rate 3.8%
5-Year IRR 9.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 93638

Population: 51,502

💰 Median Household Income
$58,200
This area
$58,200
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
45.5%
This area
45.5%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
8.5%
This area
8.5%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
7.8%
This area
7.8%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
28.9 years
This area
28.9 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 64.1%
Hispanic/Latino 60.7%
White 32.6%
Black/African American 1.9%
Asian 1.4%
👶 Under 18
31.6%
This area
31.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.4%
This area
9.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 93638

B Avg School Grade
21 Schools
21.6:1 Avg Class Size
$31,596 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Juvenile Hall (Endeavor/Voyager Secondary)

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
22 Students
👨‍🏫
6.4:1 Class Size
💰
$97,438 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mountain Vista High

📚 10 – 12 High School
👥
164 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Jack G. Desmond Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
813 Students
👨‍🏫
19.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Martin Luther King Jr. Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
917 Students
👨‍🏫
19.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

Cesar Chavez Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
682 Students
👨‍🏫
22.5:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

George Washington Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
592 Students
👨‍🏫
23.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

James Monroe Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
660 Students
👨‍🏫
24.4:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

John J. Pershing Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
781 Students
👨‍🏫
22.3:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

Millview Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
600 Students
👨‍🏫
24.0:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

Nishimoto Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
712 Students
👨‍🏫
24.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

Sierra Vista Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
739 Students
👨‍🏫
24.6:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

Virginia Lee Rose Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
704 Students
👨‍🏫
23.5:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
B Good

Pioneer Technical Center

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
243 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$97,438 Per Student
B Good

Sherman Thomas Charter

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
218 Students
👨‍🏫
21.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,042 Per Student
C+ Average

Berenda Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
761 Students
👨‍🏫
27.2:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
C+ Average

Sherman Thomas Charter High

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
71 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,975 Per Student
C+ Average

Enterprise Secondary

📚 06 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$97,438 Per Student
C+ Average

Matilda Torres High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,057 Students
👨‍🏫
23.0:1 Class Size
💰
$17,180 Per Student
C+ Average

Liberty Charter

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
674 Students
👨‍🏫
25.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,450 Per Student
C+ Average

Madera County Independent Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
62 Students
👨‍🏫
25.8:1 Class Size
💰
$97,438 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 1,141 Off-Campus Students
D
San Joaquin Valley College-Madera
82 students · 5.1 mi
C
Madera Community College
5,825 students · 8.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,141 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How tight is the rental market in Madera, CA?

Madera, CA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Which real estate strategy fits Madera, CA?

In Madera, CA the impressive play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $366K prices and $1,778/mo rents suits that approach.

Is Madera in CA worth investing in?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Madera, CA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $366K and rents of $1,778/mo drive the underlying numbers.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Madera, CA?

Median home price in Madera, CA is near $366K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What do landlords charge for rent in Madera, CA?

Average rent in Madera, CA is approximately $1,778/mo per month. Against $366K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

You know 93638 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 93638 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 93638 ranks in Madera, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 93638 (Madera)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 93638 (Madera, CA).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.