Real Estate Investing in Le Grand, California (95333)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Merced County • Population: 3,203 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 95333 (Le Grand, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (51/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Le Grand, CA (95333)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $354,787
Avg Monthly Rent $1,224
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $62,102
% Renters 32.8%

Market Analysis: 95333 Le Grand

The 95333 ZIP in Le Grand, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $355K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

On the rental side, the numbers look inviting — $355K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 95333 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Looking more closely, 95333 offers a low basis, the region around Le Grand has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Demographically, 95333 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

The 95333 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Le Grand:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 52/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,224/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Merced, CA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Merced, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95333

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+6.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$105,562/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $297,580 $1,360 3.3% +4.5% $148,790
3BR $316,686 $1,880 4.3% +6.2% $105,562
4BR $444,075 $2,290 3.7% +6.8% $111,019

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$376K$315K$253K$192K$130K$69KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95333 Compare?

Metric 95333 Le Grand Merced, CA California
Home Value $354,787 $354,787 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 3.0% 3.0% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,224 $1,224 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 2.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95333? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95333 (Le Grand, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.0%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Merced, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
46%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $354,787
Monthly Rent $1,224
Price-to-Rent 24.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.1%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 5.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
10.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95333

Population: 3,203

💰 Median Household Income
$62,102
This area
$62,102
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
32.8%
This area
32.8%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.3%
This area
16.3%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
30.7 years
This area
30.7 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
10.4%
This area
10.4%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 61.6%
Hispanic/Latino 60.1%
White 37.1%
Asian 1.0%
Black/African American 0.3%
👶 Under 18
34.7%
This area
34.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.3%
This area
9.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.7%
This area
12.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95333

B+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
16.0:1 Avg Class Size
$22,248 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Le Grand High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
462 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$24,099 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Le Grand Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
330 Students
👨‍🏫
18.3:1 Class Size
💰
$18,545 Per Student
B Good

Granada High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
33 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$24,099 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 4,493 Off-Campus Students
B+
University of California-Merced
9,147 students · 13.1 mi
C
Milan Institute-Merced
308 students · 14.2 mi
C
Merced College
11,835 students · 14.3 mi
C+
Sierra College of Beauty
245 students · 14.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,493 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is tenant demand in Le Grand, CA?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Le Grand, CA. The rental market absorbs $1,224/mo rents without meaningful friction.

How does Le Grand, CA stack up for property investment?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Le Grand, CA reflects its $355K prices and $1,224/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within CA.

Where do home prices stand in Le Grand, CA?

Expect median prices around $355K in Le Grand, CA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been reliable.

Are landlord laws favorable in Le Grand, CA?

For rental operators, Le Grand, CA rates as tenant-protective. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

Does house hacking work in Le Grand, CA?

For house hackers, Le Grand, CA is a challenging. The $1,224/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $355K property.

You know 95333 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95333 ranks in Merced, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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