Real Estate Investing in Merced, California (95340)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Merced County • Population: 38,045 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 95340 (Merced, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Higher unemployment: 8.5% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

What’s happening in Merced, CA (95340)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $406,091
Avg Monthly Rent $1,795
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,809
% Renters 44.4%

Market Analysis: 95340 Merced

ZIP 95340 in Merced, CA carries a durable set of headwinds. Home values near $406K and rents of $1,795/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 95340 reflects the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Within CA, ZIP 95340 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Merced County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and sturdy enough to shape underwriting.

Demographically, 95340 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

trends toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Merced:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.3× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,795/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Merced, CA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Merced, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95340

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+6.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$109,282/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $287,494 $1,400 3.5% +6.6% $143,747
3BR $384,049 $1,930 3.6% +6.5% $128,016
4BR $475,775 $2,330 3.5% +6.1% $118,944
5BR $546,412 +5.8% $109,282

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$437K$370K$304K$237K$171K$104KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,962$1,883$1,804$1,725$1,647$1,568Jan 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95340 Compare?

Metric 95340 Merced Merced, CA California
Home Value $406,091 $238,482 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 3.1% 3.3% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,795 $1,799 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95340? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 44% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95340 (Merced, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 95340 (Merced, CA)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.1%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Merced, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
46%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $406,091
Monthly Rent $1,795
Price-to-Rent 18.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.3%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 6.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -6.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95340

Population: 38,045

💰 Median Household Income
$64,809
This area
$64,809
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
44.4%
This area
44.4%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
8.5%
This area
8.5%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
25.9%
This area
25.9%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
32.2 years
This area
32.2 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.4%
This area
6.4%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 50.2%
Other/Mixed 38.7%
Hispanic/Latino 34.9%
Asian 8.1%
Black/African American 3.1%
👶 Under 18
23.4%
This area
23.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.4%
This area
14.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
16.6%
This area
16.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95340

B Avg School Grade
19 Schools
22.7:1 Avg Class Size
$20,745 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Sequoia High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
106 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$17,670 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Independence High (Alternative)

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
92 Students
👨‍🏫
7.3:1 Class Size
💰
$17,670 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Yosemite High (Continuation)

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
355 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$17,670 Per Student
B Good

Leontine Gracey Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
509 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Alicia Reyes Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
565 Students
👨‍🏫
23.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Allan Peterson Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
682 Students
👨‍🏫
25.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Charles Wright Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
552 Students
👨‍🏫
23.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Don Stowell Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
527 Students
👨‍🏫
23.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Donn B. Chenoweth Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
732 Students
👨‍🏫
25.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Herbert Hoover Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
607 Students
👨‍🏫
26.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

John C. Fremont Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
559 Students
👨‍🏫
24.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

John Muir Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
581 Students
👨‍🏫
24.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Luther Burbank Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
727 Students
👨‍🏫
25.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Margaret Sheehy Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
503 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
B Good

Tenaya Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
585 Students
👨‍🏫
24.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
C+ Average

Merced County Juvenile Court

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
18 Students
👨‍🏫
19.2:1 Class Size
💰
$103,029 Per Student
C+ Average

Ada Givens Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
546 Students
👨‍🏫
26.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
C+ Average

Herbert H. Cruickshank Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
630 Students
👨‍🏫
29.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
D Needs Improvement
👥
31 Students
👨‍🏫
31.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,875 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 4,493 Off-Campus Students
B+
University of California-Merced
9,147 students · 2.0 mi
C
Merced College
11,835 students · 3.9 mi
C
Milan Institute-Merced
308 students · 4.3 mi
C+
Sierra College of Beauty
245 students · 5.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,493 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Merced, CA?

Expect median prices around $406K in Merced, CA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been reliable.

Is CA a landlord-friendly state?

CA law tenant-protective for landlords, and Merced inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Is Merced, CA better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

The best-fit strategy in Merced, CA is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Merced, CA?

Occupancy in Merced, CA runs even-keeled with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,795/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Does house hacking make sense in Merced, CA?

For house hackers, Merced, CA is a challenging. The $1,795/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $406K property.

You know 95340 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95340 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 95340 ranks in Merced, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 95340 (Merced)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 95340 (Merced, CA).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.