Real Estate Investing in Merced, California (95341)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Merced County • Population: 34,956 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95341 (Merced, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • Elevated poverty: 25.6% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

What’s happening in Merced, CA (95341)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $364,341
Avg Monthly Rent $2,062
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $54,448
% Renters 60.2%

Market Analysis: 95341 Merced

ZIP 95341 inside Merced County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $364K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 95341 clocks in at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

In the broader CA picture, 95341 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Demographically, 95341 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 95341 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Merced:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,062/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Merced, CA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Merced, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95341

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$98,341/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $265,120 $1,450 3.9% +6.4% $132,560
3BR $345,306 $1,990 4.1% +7.4% $115,102
4BR $401,504 $2,410 4.3% +7.0% $100,376
5BR $491,707 +6.5% $98,341

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$391K$325K$259K$192K$126K$60KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,094$2,016$1,938$1,859$1,781$1,703Jun 2023Jan 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95341 Compare?

Metric 95341 Merced Merced, CA California
Home Value $364,341 $238,482 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 3.9% 3.3% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,062 $1,799 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.4% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95341? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

60% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95341 (Merced, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.9%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Merced, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
46%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $364,341
Monthly Rent $2,062
Price-to-Rent 14.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.8%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +8.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95341

Population: 34,956

💰 Median Household Income
$54,448
This area
$54,448
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
60.2%
This area
60.2%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
6.7%
This area
6.7%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
7.2%
This area
7.2%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
27.6 years
This area
27.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.7%
This area
2.7%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 58.5%
Hispanic/Latino 54.7%
White 29.4%
Asian 8.8%
Black/African American 3.4%
👶 Under 18
35.5%
This area
35.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.1%
This area
8.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
25.6%
This area
25.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95341

B Avg School Grade
10 Schools
18.9:1 Avg Class Size
$44,397 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Merced County Special Education

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
895 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$103,029 Per Student
A Very Good

Merced Scholars Charter

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
297 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$103,029 Per Student
B Good

Valley Merced Community

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
81 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$103,029 Per Student
B Good

Farmdale Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
970 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$16,148 Per Student
B Good

Pioneer Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,062 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,148 Per Student
C+ Average

Weaver Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,000 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$16,148 Per Student
C+ Average

Weaver Preschool

📚 Grade M Elementary Limited Data
💰
$16,148 Per Student
C+ Average

McSwain Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
939 Students
👨‍🏫
22.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,310 Per Student
C Below Average

Plainsburg Union Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
107 Students
👨‍🏫
22.3:1 Class Size
💰
$12,585 Per Student
C Below Average

Merced County ROP

📚 11 – 12 High School Limited Data
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 4,493 Off-Campus Students
C+
Sierra College of Beauty
245 students · 5.3 mi
C
Milan Institute-Merced
308 students · 6.5 mi
C
Merced College
11,835 students · 7.4 mi
B+
University of California-Merced
9,147 students · 10.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,493 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CA a landlord-friendly state?

Landlord-friendliness in Merced, CA is tenant-protective. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What is the average monthly rent in Merced, CA?

Expect rents around $2,062/mo per month in Merced, CA. With home values at $364K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

How deep is the rental pool in Merced, CA?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Merced, CA. The rental market absorbs $2,062/mo rents without meaningful friction.

How does Merced, CA stack up for property investment?

Yes - Merced, CA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $364K home prices against $2,062/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

What is the median home value in Merced, CA?

Expect median prices around $364K in Merced, CA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been predictable.

You know 95341 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95341 ranks in Merced, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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