Real Estate Investing in Sahuarita, Arizona (85629)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pima County • Population: 30,989 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85629 (Sahuarita, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Sahuarita, AZ (85629)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $338,220
Avg Monthly Rent $1,960
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $102,872
% Renters 17.3%

Market Analysis: 85629 Sahuarita

The 85629 ZIP in Sahuarita, AZ is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $338K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Rent of $1,960/mo on a $338K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 85629 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Nearby ZIPs in Sahuarita have seen price recovery that 85629 has not matched. Pima County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

From an investor standpoint, 30,989 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

The 85629 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Sahuarita:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.3× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,960/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Tucson, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
70 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tucson, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85629

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
6.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+6.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$86,036/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $269,962 $2,030 5.4% +6.9% $134,981
3BR $314,824 $2,820 6.4% +6.8% $104,941
4BR $363,036 $3,250 6.4% +6.5% $90,759
5BR $430,178 +6.1% $86,036

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$378K$327K$275K$224K$172K$120KJun 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,153$1,933$1,713$1,493$1,273$1,052May 2016Jun 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85629 Compare?

Metric 85629 Sahuarita Tucson, AZ Arizona
Home Value $338,220 $338,220 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.7% 2.7% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,960 $1,960 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.5% 4.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85629? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85629 (Sahuarita, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Pima County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Fort Lowell Realty & Property Management provides realty and property management services in Tucson. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

WilsonPs.com is a domain name for sale. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.5%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.7%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Tucson, AZ metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
57%
Days Pending
2/2
70 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $338,220
Monthly Rent $1,960
Price-to-Rent 14.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.0%
Cap Rate 4.5%
5-Year IRR 7.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.8% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85629

Population: 30,989

💰 Median Household Income
$102,872
This area
$102,872
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.3%
This area
17.3%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
36.2%
This area
36.2%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.1 years
This area
34.1 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.9%
This area
6.9%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 69.8%
Other/Mixed 26.8%
Hispanic/Latino 21.6%
Black/African American 2.0%
Asian 1.4%
👶 Under 18
31.8%
This area
31.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
12.2%
This area
12.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.8%
This area
6.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85629

C+ Avg School Grade
13 Schools
17.6:1 Avg Class Size
$26,931 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Pima County at Walden Grove

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$85,487 Per Student
B Good

Sahuarita Primary School

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
340 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
B Good
👥
100 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
B Good

PCJTED - Sahuarita High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
1 Students
💰
$85,487 Per Student
B Good

PCJTED - Walden Grove High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
2 Students
💰
$85,487 Per Student
B Good

Sahuarita Intermediate School

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
358 Students
👨‍🏫
16.2:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
C+ Average

Wrightson Ridge K-8 School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
829 Students
👨‍🏫
16.9:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
C+ Average

Copper View Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
622 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
C+ Average

Sahuarita Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
509 Students
👨‍🏫
18.7:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
C Below Average

Anza Trail

📚 K – 08 School
👥
1,235 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
C Below Average

Sahuarita High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,181 Students
👨‍🏫
20.1:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
C Below Average

Great Expectations Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
202 Students
💰
$10,022 Per Student
C Below Average

Walden Grove High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,154 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$9,291 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is vacancy risk in Sahuarita, AZ?

Sahuarita, AZ carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect measured absorption at market rents of $1,960/mo.

How strong is the working-renter base in Sahuarita, AZ?

The renter base in Sahuarita, AZ is reasonable for the $1,960/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields steady tenants.

How much does a house cost in Sahuarita, AZ?

In Sahuarita, AZ the median home value sits at $338K. Against the broader AZ market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

Are landlord laws favorable in Sahuarita, AZ?

Rental owners in Sahuarita, AZ deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What is the typical rental rate in Sahuarita, AZ?

Investors in Sahuarita, AZ typically see rents near $1,960/mo per month against $338K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

You know 85629 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85629 ranks in Tucson, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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