Real Estate Investing in Green Valley, Arizona (85622)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pima County • Population: 6,345 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85622 (Green Valley, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 22.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Green Valley, AZ (85622)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $345,602
Avg Monthly Rent $1,748
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $72,023
% Renters 9.8%

Market Analysis: 85622 Green Valley

Investors eyeing 85622 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $346K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Put differently, the numbers look inviting — $346K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 85622 is substantial and deserves full respect.

ZIP 85622's metrics run below Pima County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

A significant renter share of 10% in 85622 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategically, 85622 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Green Valley:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,748/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Tucson, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
70 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tucson, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85622

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+5.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$162,600/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $330,636 $1,650 3.6% +5.5% $165,318
3BR $487,799 $2,290 3.4% +5.6% $162,600

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$380K$336K$292K$247K$203K$158KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,750$1,742$1,733$1,725$1,717$1,708Mar 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026

📊 How Does 85622 Compare?

Metric 85622 Green Valley Tucson, AZ Arizona
Home Value $345,602 $318,174 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.3% 2.5% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,748 $1,695 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.9% 4.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85622? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85622 (Green Valley, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Pima County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Fort Lowell Realty & Property Management provides realty and property management services in Tucson. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

WilsonPs.com is a domain name for sale. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.3%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Tucson, AZ metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
57%
Days Pending
2/2
70 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $345,602
Monthly Rent $1,748
Price-to-Rent 16.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 3.9%
5-Year IRR 6.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.8% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.1% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85622

Population: 6,345

💰 Median Household Income
$72,023
This area
$72,023
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
9.8%
This area
9.8%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.7%
This area
0.7%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
47.8%
This area
47.8%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
73.3 years
This area
73.3 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.7%
This area
22.7%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.9%
Other/Mixed 3.9%
Hispanic/Latino 2.6%
Black/African American 0.1%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
3.3%
This area
3.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
80.8%
This area
80.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Green Valley, AZ?

Rental vacancy in Green Valley, AZ is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

What is it like being a landlord in Green Valley, AZ?

Landlord-friendliness in Green Valley, AZ is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Does house hacking make sense in Green Valley, AZ?

The a challenging house-hack environment in Green Valley, AZ reflects the rent-to-price spread. Expect meaningful PITI offset at market rents.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Green Valley, AZ?

Green Valley, AZ rentals go for roughly $1,748/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $346K acquisition costs.

What price range are homes in Green Valley, AZ?

In Green Valley, AZ the median home value sits at $346K. Against the broader AZ market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

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How 85622 ranks in Tucson, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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