Real Estate Investing in Alvarado, Texas (76009)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Johnson County • Population: 21,130 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76009 (Alvarado, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (64/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 12.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Alvarado, TX (76009)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $319,501
Avg Monthly Rent $1,626
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $71,996
% Renters 23.8%

Market Analysis: 76009 Alvarado

ZIP 76009 inside Johnson County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $320K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Rent of $1,626/mo on a $320K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 76009 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

ZIP 76009's metrics run below Johnson County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Resident income in 76009 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 76009 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Alvarado:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,626/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
63 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 76009

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+6.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$86,068/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $179,580 $1,480 5.9% +6.5% $89,790
3BR $280,322 $1,950 5.0% +6.1% $93,441
4BR $375,038 $2,420 4.6% +6.1% $93,759
5BR $430,338 +5.1% $86,068

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$344K$293K$241K$189K$137K$86KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,646$1,613$1,580$1,548$1,515$1,482Jan 2025Oct 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76009 Compare?

Metric 76009 Alvarado Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Texas
Home Value $319,501 $319,501 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 4.2% 4.2% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,626 $1,626 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 76009? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76009 (Alvarado, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.2%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $319,501
Monthly Rent $1,626
Price-to-Rent 16.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 8.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +3.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76009

Population: 21,130

💰 Median Household Income
$71,996
This area
$71,996
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.8%
This area
23.8%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.4%
This area
14.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.1 years
This area
37.1 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.2%
This area
12.2%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 78.5%
Other/Mixed 17.5%
Hispanic/Latino 15.5%
Black/African American 3.8%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
25.6%
This area
25.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.2%
This area
14.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.8%
This area
10.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76009

B+ Avg School Grade
6 Schools
14.1:1 Avg Class Size
$12,293 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

LILLIAN EL

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
296 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$12,293 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ALVARADO EL-SOUTH

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
352 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,293 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ALVARADO EL-NORTH

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
284 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,293 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ALVARADO INT

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
809 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$12,293 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ALVARADO J H

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
841 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,293 Per Student
B Good

ALVARADO H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,200 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,293 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Southwestern Adventist University
817 students · 7.5 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How should investors approach Alvarado, TX?

In Alvarado, TX the sturdy play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $320K prices and $1,626/mo rents suits that approach.

Where do rents currently stand in Alvarado, TX?

Investors in Alvarado, TX typically see rents near $1,626/mo per month against $320K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Are there empty rentals in Alvarado, TX?

Vacancy in Alvarado, TX is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,626/mo.

Can I live-in-and-rent in Alvarado, TX?

House hacking in Alvarado, TX is a challenging. With home values around $320K and rents at $1,626/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

Is Alvarado, TX landlord-friendly?

TX ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Alvarado generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

You know 76009 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 76009 ranks in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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