Real Estate Investing in Chelsea, Vermont (05038)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Orange County • Population: 1,301 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 05038 (Chelsea, VT)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 26.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Chelsea, VT (05038)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $307,776
Avg Monthly Rent $1,278
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $61,875
% Renters 16.5%

Market Analysis: 05038 Chelsea

ZIP 05038 inside Orange County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $308K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $308K asset, 05038 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Within VT, ZIP 05038 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Orange County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and impressive enough to shape underwriting.

The demographic picture in 05038 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Chelsea averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategically, 05038 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Chelsea:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,278/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Lebanon, NH-VT Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
52 days
Average time to sell
Average
6.9%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lebanon, NH-VT metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$324K$290K$257K$223K$190K$156KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 05038 Compare?

Metric 05038 Chelsea Lebanon, NH-VT Vermont
Home Value $307,776 $307,776 N/A $387,631
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 4.5% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,278 $1,278 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 05038? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 05038 (Chelsea, VT). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $307,776
Monthly Rent $1,278
Price-to-Rent 20.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
26.8%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
3.0/5
Balanced
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 05038

Population: 1,301

💰 Median Household Income
$61,875
This area
$61,875
State
$75,625
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.5%
This area
16.5%
State
19.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.7%
This area
1.7%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
33.3%
This area
33.3%
State
2.9%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.1 years
This area
42.1 years
State
11.2 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
26.8%
This area
26.8%
State
26.5%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.0%
Other/Mixed 3.5%
Black/African American 0.4%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
24.3%
This area
24.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.3%
This area
21.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.5%
This area
6.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 05038

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
6.8:1 Avg Class Size
$26,455 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

First Branch Middle School

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
92 Students
👨‍🏫
6.8:1 Class Size
💰
$26,455 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 457 Off-Campus Students
C+
Vermont State University
5,136 students · 8.1 mi
D
Vermont Law and Graduate School
690 students · 12.3 mi
C
Norwich University
3,274 students · 14.3 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Chelsea, VT a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Chelsea, VT clocks in at an investability rating of 3.0/5, with median home values near $308K and average rents around $1,278/mo. That combination puts it in the sturdy tier for investor interest.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Chelsea, VT?

Vacancy risk in Chelsea, VT is elevated. That supports consistent cash flow for typical rental holds.

What is the tenant pool like in Chelsea, VT?

The renter base in Chelsea, VT is reasonable for the $1,278/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields stable tenants.

Which real estate strategy fits Chelsea, VT?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Chelsea, VT. With home values at $308K and rents near $1,278/mo, other strategies can work but produce stable rather than outsized returns.

How much is rent in Chelsea, VT?

Rent in Chelsea, VT is around $1,278/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $308K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

You know 05038 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 05038 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 05038 ranks in Lebanon, NH-VT

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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