Real Estate Investing in Paia, Hawaii (96779)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maui County • Population: 2,906 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 96779 (Paia, HI)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (26/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 23.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Higher unemployment: 8.7% unemployment — tenant risk signal.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 35.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Paia, HI (96779)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,335,408
Avg Monthly Rent $3,159
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $107,083
% Renters 34.3%

Market Analysis: 96779 Paia

ZIP 96779 inside Maui County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $1.3M — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Rent of $3,159/mo on a $1.3M basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 96779 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

ZIP 96779's metrics run below Maui County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 96779 ZIP's population of 2,906 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reports the need for careful underwriting.

Strategically, 96779 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Paia:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 50/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 12.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,159/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
152 days
Average time to sell
Slow
4.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 96779

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
2.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+7.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$384,713/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $1,441,899 $3,510 1.8% +7.0% $720,950
3BR $1,154,138 $4,550 2.8% +6.1% $384,713
4BR $1,972,566 $5,670 2.1% +7.3% $493,141

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.5M$1.3M$1.1M$865K$656K$447KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 96779 Compare?

Metric 96779 Paia Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI Hawaii
Home Value $1,335,408 $1,335,408 N/A $824,731
5-Year CAGR 3.6% 3.6% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $3,159 $3,159 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.9% 1.9% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 96779 (Paia, HI). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.6%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,335,408
Monthly Rent $3,159
Price-to-Rent 35.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.8%
Cap Rate 1.9%
5-Year IRR 5.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
23.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 96779

Population: 2,906

💰 Median Household Income
$107,083
This area
$107,083
State
$87,967
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
34.3%
This area
34.3%
State
37.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
8.7%
This area
8.7%
State
-27.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
37.2%
This area
37.2%
State
-0.9%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.3 years
This area
42.3 years
State
-1.2 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
23.6%
This area
23.6%
State
18.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 44.1%
Other/Mixed 41.1%
Asian 14.9%
Hispanic/Latino 4.9%
👶 Under 18
15.5%
This area
15.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.4%
This area
17.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 96779

B+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
21.2:1 Avg Class Size
$19,381 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Paia Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
423 Students
👨‍🏫
21.2:1 Class Size
💰
$19,381 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 944 Off-Campus Students
C
IBS School of Cosmetology and Massage
64 students · 5.3 mi
C
University of Hawaii Maui College
2,647 students · 6.2 mi

Investor Insight: With 944 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Paia, HI?

Median home price in Paia, HI is near $1.3M, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been measured and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What real estate strategy is ideal for Paia, HI?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Paia, HI. With home values at $1.3M and rents near $3,159/mo, other strategies can work but produce stable rather than outsized returns.

Where do rents currently stand in Paia, HI?

Paia, HI rentals go for roughly $3,159/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $1.3M acquisition costs.

Should investors consider Paia, HI?

Investors tracking Paia, HI will find a 2.0/5 rating supported by $1.3M median home values and $3,159/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

What is the tenant pool like in Paia, HI?

Tenant quality in Paia, HI ranks as solid. Landlords generally report even-keeled occupancy at market rents of $3,159/mo.

You know 96779 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 96779 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 96779 ranks in Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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