Real Estate Investing in Tracy, California (95376)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Joaquin County • Population: 54,853 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 95376 (Tracy, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.4% CAGR).
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.1% in the last year.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Tracy, CA (95376)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $587,771
Avg Monthly Rent $2,512
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $99,675
% Renters 40.8%

Market Analysis: 95376 Tracy

ZIP 95376 in Tracy, CA carries a robust set of headwinds. Home values near $588K and rents of $2,512/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 95376 can be a an appealing option for hunting ground — but the discount at $588K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

In practical terms, 95376 offers a low basis, the region around Tracy has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Employment concentration in 95376 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategically, 95376 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tracy:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 59/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,512/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Stockton, CA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
46 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Stockton, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95376

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
3.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+6.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$153,958/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $433,974 $2,100 3.5% +3.5% $216,987
3BR $567,389 $2,920 3.7% +4.6% $189,130
4BR $661,689 $3,520 3.8% +5.2% $165,422
5BR $769,789 +6.0% $153,958

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$709K$593K$477K$361K$246K$130KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,589$2,367$2,145$1,922$1,700$1,478Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95376 Compare?

Metric 95376 Tracy Stockton, CA California
Home Value $587,771 $782,933 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 0.4% 1.4% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,512 $2,839 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.3% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95376? Click to expand

A healthy rental market with 41% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95376 (Tracy, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 95376 (Tracy, CA)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Property managers serving San Joaquin County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Ahrens Property Management is a full-service company managing residential rental properties for owners, including tenant screening, placement, repairs, and accounting in Lodi, CA. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Serviceprop provides construction, maintenance, and janitorial services to customers in Southern California. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+0.4%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Stockton, CA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
44%
Days Pending
1/2
46 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $587,771
Monthly Rent $2,512
Price-to-Rent 19.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.1%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 3.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.0% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +4.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95376

Population: 54,853

💰 Median Household Income
$99,675
This area
$99,675
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
40.8%
This area
40.8%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
32.4 years
This area
32.4 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 44.1%
Other/Mixed 36.3%
Hispanic/Latino 30.0%
Asian 13.5%
Black/African American 6.1%
👶 Under 18
26.6%
This area
26.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.3%
This area
10.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.6%
This area
7.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95376

B Avg School Grade
20 Schools
19.7:1 Avg Class Size
$14,086 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

George and Evelyn Stein Continuation

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
123 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Art Freiler

📚 K – 08 School
👥
766 Students
👨‍🏫
21.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Central Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
426 Students
👨‍🏫
20.5:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Earle E. Williams Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
757 Students
👨‍🏫
20.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Louis A. Bohn Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
372 Students
👨‍🏫
21.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Louis J. Villalovoz Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
412 Students
👨‍🏫
21.2:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

McKinley Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
445 Students
👨‍🏫
20.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Melville S. Jacobson Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
606 Students
👨‍🏫
21.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Monte Vista Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
715 Students
👨‍🏫
18.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

North Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
731 Students
👨‍🏫
20.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Millennium Charter

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
484 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,270 Per Student
B Good

South/West Park Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
809 Students
👨‍🏫
21.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Tracy Independent Study Charter

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
317 Students
👨‍🏫
18.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Duncan-Russell Community Day

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
10 Students
👨‍🏫
4.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Gladys Poet-Christian Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
549 Students
👨‍🏫
22.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
B Good

Wanda Hirsch Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
406 Students
👨‍🏫
22.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
C+ Average

Primary Charter

📚 K – 04 Elementary Charter
👥
404 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$9,935 Per Student
C+ Average

Tracy High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,722 Students
👨‍🏫
22.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
C Below Average

Merrill F. West High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,066 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,757 Per Student
C Below Average

Discovery Charter

📚 05 – 08 School Charter
👥
366 Students
👨‍🏫
22.3:1 Class Size
💰
$9,649 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What do landlords charge for rent in Tracy, CA?

Investors in Tracy, CA typically see rents near $2,512/mo per month against $588K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

What are vacancy rates like in Tracy, CA?

Tracy, CA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect steady absorption at market rents of $2,512/mo.

Is Tracy, CA a smart market for rental property?

Yes - Tracy, CA a 2.0/5 investability score. With $588K home prices against $2,512/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Tracy, CA?

The landlord environment in Tracy, CA is tenant-protective. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

How deep is the rental pool in Tracy, CA?

Tracy, CA draws a predictable base of working renters. Demand at the $2,512/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

You know 95376 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95376 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 95376 ranks in Stockton, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 95376 (Tracy)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 95376 (Tracy, CA).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.