Real Estate Investing in Discovery Bay, California (94505)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Contra Costa County • Population: 15,316 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 94505 (Discovery Bay, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (37/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Declining values: 0.0% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.7% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Discovery Bay, CA (94505)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $783,203
Avg Monthly Rent $3,546
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $147,292
% Renters 10.1%

Market Analysis: 94505 Discovery Bay

The 94505 ZIP in Discovery Bay, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $783K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

On balance, the numbers look inviting — $783K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 94505 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Regionally, 94505 sits on the difficult end of the CA spectrum. The a solid fit for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The demographic picture in 94505 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Discovery Bay averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 94505 is an operator game, not a passive one. Turning to rents, entry prices of $783K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Discovery Bay:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 49/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.3× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,546/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94505

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
5.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+4.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$171,343/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $573,206 $3,660 4.6% +4.0% $286,603
3BR $771,590 $4,680 4.4% +3.9% $257,197
4BR $795,623 $5,550 5.0% +4.0% $198,906
5BR $856,716 +4.2% $171,343

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$919K$803K$688K$572K$456K$340KMay 2013Dec 2019Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,693$3,508$3,323$3,137$2,952$2,767Mar 2025Nov 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94505 Compare?

Metric 94505 Discovery Bay San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $783,203 $783,203 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $3,546 $3,546 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94505 (Discovery Bay, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Contra Costa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management Services offers Pleasanton property management, including marketing, tenant screening, rent collection, maintenance, accounting, and eviction. summary from their website

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Main Street Property Services is a full-service retail real estate company specializing in value-added leasing of shopping centers and downtown shopping districts. summary from their website

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Maisel Property Management Inc's homepage text is minimal, but the domain name strongly suggests property management services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
0.0%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $783,203
Monthly Rent $3,546
Price-to-Rent 18.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.4%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 3.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR 0.0% ▼
10-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +9.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.7%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
0.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94505

Population: 15,316

💰 Median Household Income
$147,292
This area
$147,292
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.1%
This area
10.1%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
31.2%
This area
31.2%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.0 years
This area
44.0 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.7%
This area
8.7%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 71.3%
Other/Mixed 15.9%
Hispanic/Latino 10.6%
Asian 7.4%
Black/African American 5.3%
👶 Under 18
22.0%
This area
22.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.6%
This area
17.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.4%
This area
5.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94505

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
18.4:1 Avg Class Size
$15,286 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Discovery Bay Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
438 Students
👨‍🏫
21.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,286 Per Student
B Good
👥
21 Students
👨‍🏫
10.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,286 Per Student
B Good

Timber Point Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
356 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,286 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Contra Costa Medical Career College
337 students · 14.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Discovery Bay, CA a good place for real estate investing?

Discovery Bay, CA rates 2.0/5 for investability. With median values at $783K and rents near $3,546/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

What do rentals go for in Discovery Bay, CA?

Rent in Discovery Bay, CA is around $3,546/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $783K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What is the typical renter like in Discovery Bay, CA?

The tenant pool in Discovery Bay, CA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $3,546/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

Which real estate strategy fits Discovery Bay, CA?

Most investors in Discovery Bay, CA run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 2.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

Is rental property easy to operate in Discovery Bay, CA?

Discovery Bay, CA falls under CA landlord-tenant law, which is tenant-protective. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

You know 94505 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 94505 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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