Real Estate Investing in Oakley, California (94561)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Contra Costa County • Population: 45,386 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 94561 (Oakley, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (51/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Declining values: -0.1% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Oakley, CA (94561)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $660,651
Avg Monthly Rent $3,304
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $119,646
% Renters 23.4%

Market Analysis: 94561 Oakley

The 94561 ZIP covers a section of Oakley that demands careful diligence. Prices near $661K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

In practical terms, the numbers look inviting — $661K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 94561 is substantial and deserves full respect.

ZIP 94561's metrics run below Contra Costa County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The 94561 ZIP's population of 45,386 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that registers the need for careful underwriting.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. healthy returns are possible in 94561, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Oakley:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 51/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,304/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94561

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+4.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$159,493/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $460,131 $2,630 4.1% +3.4% $230,065
3BR $592,817 $3,360 4.1% +3.5% $197,606
4BR $687,785 $3,990 4.2% +4.1% $171,946
5BR $797,467 +4.2% $159,493

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$792K$659K$526K$393K$260K$127KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,436$3,347$3,258$3,169$3,081$2,992Aug 2023Feb 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94561 Compare?

Metric 94561 Oakley San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $660,651 $660,651 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $3,304 $3,304 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.9% 3.9% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94561 (Oakley, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Contra Costa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management Services offers Pleasanton property management, including marketing, tenant screening, rent collection, maintenance, accounting, and eviction. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Main Street Property Services is a full-service retail real estate company specializing in value-added leasing of shopping centers and downtown shopping districts. summary from their website

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Maisel Property Management Inc's homepage text is minimal, but the domain name strongly suggests property management services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.9%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.1%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $660,651
Monthly Rent $3,304
Price-to-Rent 16.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.0%
Cap Rate 3.9%
5-Year IRR 3.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.1% ▼
10-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +5.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94561

Population: 45,386

💰 Median Household Income
$119,646
This area
$119,646
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.4%
This area
23.4%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.4%
This area
22.4%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.6 years
This area
35.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 54.2%
Other/Mixed 29.1%
Hispanic/Latino 22.6%
Black/African American 8.6%
Asian 8.0%
👶 Under 18
25.2%
This area
25.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.0%
This area
10.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94561

B Avg School Grade
11 Schools
23.2:1 Avg Class Size
$14,738 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Oakley Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
371 Students
👨‍🏫
21.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
B Good

Orchard Park

📚 K – 08 School
👥
750 Students
👨‍🏫
21.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Almond Grove Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
453 Students
👨‍🏫
23.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
B Good

Gehringer Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
666 Students
👨‍🏫
25.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
B Good

Iron House Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
496 Students
👨‍🏫
23.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
B Good

Laurel Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
367 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
B Good

Summer Lake Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
547 Students
👨‍🏫
22.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
B Good

Vintage Parkway Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
452 Students
👨‍🏫
25.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
C+ Average

Freedom High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,478 Students
👨‍🏫
21.2:1 Class Size
💰
$19,458 Per Student
C+ Average

Delta Vista Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
900 Students
👨‍🏫
22.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
C+ Average

O'Hara Park Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
836 Students
👨‍🏫
24.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,056 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 1,785 Off-Campus Students
C
Contra Costa Medical Career College
337 students · 6.1 mi
C
Los Medanos College
8,230 students · 9.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,785 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in Oakley, CA?

The median home value in Oakley, CA is roughly $661K. That puts it reasonable relative to the CA statewide average.

What does house hacking look like in Oakley, CA?

For house hackers, Oakley, CA is a challenging. The $3,304/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $661K property.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Oakley, CA?

Oakley, CA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

What do rentals go for in Oakley, CA?

Rental rates in Oakley, CA average $3,304/mo. Tenant demand and $661K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Oakley, CA?

CA ranks as a tenant-protective state for landlord-tenant law. Oakley generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

You know 94561 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 94561 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 94561 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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