Real Estate Investing in Antioch, California (94509)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 94509 (Antioch, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.
Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.
- Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.0% CAGR).
- Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
What’s happening in Antioch, CA (94509)?
Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.
Market Analysis: 94509 Antioch
ZIP 94509 inside Contra Costa County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $540K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.
Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 94509 shows the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.
ZIP 94509's metrics run below Contra Costa County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.
The demographic picture in 94509 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Antioch averages, and tenant stability requires active management.
The right play in 94509 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Antioch:
Property Strategy for 94509
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BR | $334,649 | $1,990 | 4.3% | +2.0% | $334,649 |
| 2BR | $365,372 | $2,420 | 4.8% | +2.9% | $182,686 |
| 3BR | $514,055 | $3,090 | 4.3% | +3.1% | $171,352 |
| 4BR | $599,978 | $3,670 | 4.4% | +3.3% | $149,995 |
| 5BR | $716,651 | — | — | +3.7% | $143,330 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
Rent History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 94509 Compare?
| Metric | 94509 | Antioch | San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA | California |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $540,040 | $602,761 | N/A | $761,003 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 0.0% | 0.2% | N/A | 5.7% |
| Avg Rent | $2,153 | $2,805 | N/A | - |
| Cap Rate | 3.1% | 3.6% | - | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.
Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94509 (Antioch, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $540,040 |
| Monthly Rent | $2,153 |
| Price-to-Rent | 20.9:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 4.8% |
| Cap Rate | 3.1% |
| 5-Year IRR | 3.1% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | -0.4% ▼ |
| 3-Year CAGR | -1.0% ▼ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +0.0% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +5.1% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | -2.0% ▼ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +0.6% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +2.1% ▲ |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 94509
Population: 71,013
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 94509
Schools in This ZIP Code
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Investor Insight: With 5,479 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.
Frequently Asked Questions
How expensive is real estate in Antioch, CA?
Expect median prices around $540K in Antioch, CA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been stable.
How strong is tenant demand in Antioch, CA?
Tenant demand in Antioch, CA is solid. The local workforce $2,153/mo rents across most rental classes.
How do experienced investors play Antioch, CA?
In Antioch, CA the significant play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $540K prices and $2,153/mo rents suits that approach.
How landlord-friendly is Antioch, CA?
Antioch, CA falls under CA landlord-tenant law, which is tenant-protective. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.
Is vacancy a concern in Antioch, CA?
Antioch, CA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader CA rental market.
You know 94509 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 94509 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
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