Real Estate Investing in Antioch, California (94509)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Contra Costa County • Population: 71,013 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 94509 (Antioch, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.0% CAGR).
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Antioch, CA (94509)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $540,040
Avg Monthly Rent $2,153
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $78,637
% Renters 44.5%

Market Analysis: 94509 Antioch

ZIP 94509 inside Contra Costa County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $540K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 94509 shows the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 94509's metrics run below Contra Costa County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The demographic picture in 94509 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Antioch averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

The right play in 94509 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Antioch:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 52/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,153/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94509

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+3.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$143,330/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $334,649 $1,990 4.3% +2.0% $334,649
2BR $365,372 $2,420 4.8% +2.9% $182,686
3BR $514,055 $3,090 4.3% +3.1% $171,352
4BR $599,978 $3,670 4.4% +3.3% $149,995
5BR $716,651 +3.7% $143,330

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$645K$538K$431K$324K$217K$110KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,557$2,296$2,035$1,774$1,513$1,251Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94509 Compare?

Metric 94509 Antioch San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $540,040 $602,761 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 0.0% 0.2% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,153 $2,805 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.1% 3.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 94509? Click to expand

A healthy rental market with 45% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94509 (Antioch, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 94509 (Antioch, CA)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Property managers serving Contra Costa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management Services offers Pleasanton property management, including marketing, tenant screening, rent collection, maintenance, accounting, and eviction. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Main Street Property Services is a full-service retail real estate company specializing in value-added leasing of shopping centers and downtown shopping districts. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Maisel Property Management Inc's homepage text is minimal, but the domain name strongly suggests property management services. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+0.0%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $540,040
Monthly Rent $2,153
Price-to-Rent 20.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.8%
Cap Rate 3.1%
5-Year IRR 3.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.0% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -2.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94509

Population: 71,013

💰 Median Household Income
$78,637
This area
$78,637
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
44.5%
This area
44.5%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.3%
This area
18.3%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.4 years
This area
36.4 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 38.1%
White 36.3%
Hispanic/Latino 29.6%
Black/African American 16.2%
Asian 9.4%
👶 Under 18
24.8%
This area
24.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.7%
This area
13.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.9%
This area
11.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94509

B Avg School Grade
18 Schools
20.0:1 Avg Class Size
$28,209 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good
👥
112 Students
👨‍🏫
7.5:1 Class Size
💰
$243,402 Per Student
B Good

Prospects High (Alternative)

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
283 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Antioch Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
653 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Belshaw Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
419 Students
👨‍🏫
19.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Fremont Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
457 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Kimball Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
395 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Marsh Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
526 Students
👨‍🏫
20.4:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Mission Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
476 Students
👨‍🏫
20.7:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Muir (John) Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
640 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Sutter Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
443 Students
👨‍🏫
20.1:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
B Good

Turner Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
437 Students
👨‍🏫
19.1:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
C+ Average

Antioch High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,823 Students
👨‍🏫
21.6:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
C+ Average

Antioch Charter Academy II

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
200 Students
👨‍🏫
21.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,082 Per Student
C+ Average

Park Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,025 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
C+ Average

Bidwell Continuation High

📚 10 – 12 High School
👥
154 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
C+ Average

Live Oak High (Continuation)

📚 10 – 12 High School
👥
148 Students
👨‍🏫
18.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,158 Per Student
C Below Average

Antioch Charter Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
207 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$10,813 Per Student
C Below Average

Rocketship Delta Prep

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
604 Students
👨‍🏫
34.5:1 Class Size
💰
$16,261 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 5,479 Off-Campus Students
C
Contra Costa Medical Career College
337 students · 1.3 mi
C
Los Medanos College
8,230 students · 2.7 mi
C+
Mt. Diablo Adult Education-Mt. Diablo USD
153 students · 11.7 mi
C
Urban Barber College
163 students · 12.3 mi
D
Paul Mitchell the School-East Bay
212 students · 13.8 mi
C
Carrington College-Pleasant Hill Campus
432 students · 14.2 mi
C
Diablo Valley College
16,424 students · 14.2 mi

Investor Insight: With 5,479 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Antioch, CA?

Expect median prices around $540K in Antioch, CA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been stable.

How strong is tenant demand in Antioch, CA?

Tenant demand in Antioch, CA is solid. The local workforce $2,153/mo rents across most rental classes.

How do experienced investors play Antioch, CA?

In Antioch, CA the significant play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $540K prices and $2,153/mo rents suits that approach.

How landlord-friendly is Antioch, CA?

Antioch, CA falls under CA landlord-tenant law, which is tenant-protective. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

Is vacancy a concern in Antioch, CA?

Antioch, CA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader CA rental market.

You know 94509 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 94509 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 94509 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 94509 (Antioch)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 94509 (Antioch, CA).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.