Real Estate Investing in Lubbock, Texas (79407)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lubbock County • Population: 22,467 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 79407 (Lubbock, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (63/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Lubbock, TX (79407)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $226,599
Avg Monthly Rent $1,504
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $61,563
% Renters 56.3%

Market Analysis: 79407 Lubbock

ZIP 79407 in Lubbock, TX carries a solid set of headwinds. Home values near $227K and rents of $1,504/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Rent of $1,504/mo on a $227K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 79407 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

The gap between 79407 and stronger Lubbock ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Resident income in 79407 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategically, 79407 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lubbock:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,504/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lubbock, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lubbock, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 79407

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+6.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$64,259/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $128,518 $1,180 6.6% +5.7% $64,259
3BR $202,378 $1,630 5.8% +5.1% $67,459
4BR $318,507 $1,940 4.4% +4.5% $79,627
5BR $736,864 +6.6% $147,373

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$237K$212K$187K$162K$137K$112KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,551$1,467$1,384$1,300$1,217$1,133Dec 2021Apr 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 79407 Compare?

Metric 79407 Lubbock Lubbock, TX Texas
Home Value $226,599 $94,293 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.2% 2.6% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,504 $1,217 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.2% 6.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 79407? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

56% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 79407 (Lubbock, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.2%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lubbock, TX metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
55%
Days Pending
2/2
64 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $226,599
Monthly Rent $1,504
Price-to-Rent 12.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.0%
Cap Rate 5.2%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +20.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 79407

Population: 22,467

💰 Median Household Income
$61,563
This area
$61,563
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
56.3%
This area
56.3%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
34.8%
This area
34.8%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
29.1 years
This area
29.1 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.4%
This area
8.4%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 72.8%
Other/Mixed 19.9%
Hispanic/Latino 16.3%
Black/African American 5.1%
Asian 2.2%
👶 Under 18
19.0%
This area
19.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.7%
This area
11.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.8%
This area
8.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 79407

C+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
18.0:1 Avg Class Size
$12,142 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

ALCOVE TRAILS MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
432 Students
👨‍🏫
13.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

WESTWIND EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
574 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$14,009 Per Student
B Good

HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY - LUBBOCK

📚 Pre-K – 08 School Charter
👥
610 Students
👨‍🏫
17.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,628 Per Student
C+ Average

MEMORIAL H S

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$14,009 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

PREMIER H S OF LUBBOCK

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
170 Students
👨‍🏫
26.2:1 Class Size
💰
$7,056 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 1,467 Off-Campus Students
C
Covenant School of Nursing and Allied Health
333 students · 8.7 mi
C
Lubbock Christian University
1,589 students · 8.9 mi
C
Texas College of Cosmetology-Lubbock
89 students · 9.5 mi
D
Texas Tech University System Administration
0 students · 11.3 mi
C
Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center
4,890 students · 11.5 mi
B
Texas Tech University
40,773 students · 12.4 mi
D
Wade Gordon Hairdressing Academy-Lubbock
101 students · 12.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,467 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Lubbock, TX?

Lubbock, TX home values average about $227K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $1,504/mo in monthly income.

What real estate strategy is ideal for Lubbock, TX?

Lubbock, TX investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($227K prices, $1,504/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Lubbock, TX?

TX ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Lubbock generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

How does Lubbock, TX stack up for property investment?

Yes - Lubbock, TX a 3.0/5 investability score. With $227K home prices against $1,504/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

What is the renter demographic in Lubbock, TX?

Lubbock, TX offers a consistent renter base at the $1,504/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

You know 79407 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 79407 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 79407 ranks in Lubbock, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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