Real Estate Investing in Lubbock, Texas (79416)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lubbock County • Population: 36,461 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 79416 (Lubbock, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (66/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.1% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Lubbock, TX (79416)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $204,546
Avg Monthly Rent $1,424
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $65,774
% Renters 49.7%

Market Analysis: 79416 Lubbock

ZIP 79416 inside Lubbock County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $205K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 79416 registers the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 79416's metrics run below Lubbock County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Stepping back, 36,461 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 79416 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lubbock:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,424/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lubbock, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lubbock, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 79416

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
6.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$64,363/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $155,375 $1,290 6.0% +5.1% $77,688
3BR $193,090 $1,790 6.7% +4.8% $64,363
4BR $267,891 $2,130 5.7% +4.6% $66,973
5BR $440,449 +5.3% $88,090

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$216K$193K$171K$148K$126K$103KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,472$1,420$1,368$1,316$1,264$1,212Mar 2021Nov 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 79416 Compare?

Metric 79416 Lubbock Lubbock, TX Texas
Home Value $204,546 $94,293 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.0% 2.6% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,424 $1,217 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.4% 6.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 79416? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 50% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 79416 (Lubbock, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.0%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lubbock, TX metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
55%
Days Pending
2/2
64 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $204,546
Monthly Rent $1,424
Price-to-Rent 12.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.4%
Cap Rate 5.4%
5-Year IRR 8.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.7% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 79416

Population: 36,461

💰 Median Household Income
$65,774
This area
$65,774
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
49.7%
This area
49.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
40.1%
This area
40.1%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
28.7 years
This area
28.7 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.1%
This area
9.1%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 70.4%
Other/Mixed 17.9%
Hispanic/Latino 14.3%
Black/African American 8.9%
Asian 2.8%
👶 Under 18
21.6%
This area
21.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.1%
This area
11.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.3%
This area
11.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 79416

B+ Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.1:1 Avg Class Size
$14,002 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

LEGACY EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
451 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,009 Per Student
A Very Good

MACKENZIE MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
456 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

TERRA VISTA MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
823 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$14,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

NORTH RIDGE EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
745 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,009 Per Student
B+ Above Average

CENTENNIAL EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
520 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

HARDWICK EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
514 Students
👨‍🏫
13.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

RUSH EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
314 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

WILLOW BEND EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
825 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$14,009 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 1,467 Off-Campus Students
C
Covenant School of Nursing and Allied Health
333 students · 3.0 mi
C
Lubbock Christian University
1,589 students · 3.1 mi
C
Texas College of Cosmetology-Lubbock
89 students · 4.3 mi
C
Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center
4,890 students · 5.0 mi
D
Texas Tech University System Administration
0 students · 5.1 mi
B
Texas Tech University
40,773 students · 6.0 mi
D
Wade Gordon Hairdressing Academy-Lubbock
101 students · 8.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,467 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where do home prices stand in Lubbock, TX?

Typical homes in Lubbock, TX go for around $205K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% steady price movement.

Which real estate strategy fits Lubbock, TX?

For Lubbock, TX, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Is Lubbock, TX good for landlords?

Rental owners in Lubbock, TX deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

How strong is Lubbock, TX for real estate investors?

Investors tracking Lubbock, TX will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $205K median home values and $1,424/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting even-keeled returns.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Lubbock, TX?

Working renters make up the core of the Lubbock, TX tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

You know 79416 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 79416 ranks in Lubbock, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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