Real Estate Investing in Lubbock, Texas (79411)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lubbock County • Population: 6,380 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 79411 (Lubbock, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (66/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
4.0 / 5 (86/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 17.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.5% CAGR).
  • Lower household income: $39,259 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

What’s happening in Lubbock, TX (79411)?

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4.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $100,955
Avg Monthly Rent $1,039
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $39,259
% Renters 68.3%

Market Analysis: 79411 Lubbock

The 79411 ZIP registers an sturdy value-add profile — below-median pricing at $101K, a renter base of 68%, and room for operational improvement.

Value-add is the defining thesis in 79411. Homes trade near $101K, well below the state median, and rehabbed comps tend to clear meaningfully higher — a classic forced-equity setup.

In Lubbock County, 79411 is part of the operational map, not the passive one. The spread between median price and renovated comp reflects the work available.

Household income in 79411 supports the rent-lift thesis. 6,380 residents, deep working-age cohort, and the kind of tenant profile that responds to upgraded stock.

ZIP 79411 fits investors who can swing a hammer — or pay someone to swing one well. BRRRR, fix-and-flip, and fix-and-hold all work when the rehab scope is matched to the rent lift.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lubbock:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.6× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,039/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lubbock, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lubbock, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 79411

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
10.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+5.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$36,075/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $81,764 $1,080 9.5% +5.3% $40,882
3BR $108,226 $1,500 10.0% +3.3% $36,075

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$115K$102K$89K$76K$62K$49KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,167$1,088$1,009$930$851$772Jan 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 79411 Compare?

Metric 79411 Lubbock Lubbock, TX Texas
Home Value $100,955 $94,293 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 1.5% 2.6% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,039 $1,217 N/A -
Cap Rate 8.0% 6.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 79411? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $1,039/mo on homes averaging $100,955 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 4/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

68% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 79411 (Lubbock, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
8.0%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+1.5%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lubbock, TX metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
55%
Days Pending
2/2
64 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $100,955
Monthly Rent $1,039
Price-to-Rent 8.1:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 12.4%
Cap Rate 8.0%
5-Year IRR 9.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR -2.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +11.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 8.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (8.0%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
17.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.5%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 79411

Population: 6,380

💰 Median Household Income
$39,259
This area
$39,259
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
68.3%
This area
68.3%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.3%
This area
4.3%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.4%
This area
17.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.2 years
This area
31.2 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
17.2%
This area
17.2%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 63.3%
Other/Mixed 25.1%
Hispanic/Latino 22.5%
Black/African American 11.5%
👶 Under 18
18.7%
This area
18.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.1%
This area
9.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
17.5%
This area
17.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 79411

B Avg School Grade
4 Schools
11.8:1 Avg Class Size
$13,995 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

SLATON MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
321 Students
👨‍🏫
10.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BEAN EL

📚 02 – 05 Elementary
👥
280 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B Good

DUPRE ACADEMY H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
107 Students
👨‍🏫
8.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B Good

BEAN EL

📚 Pre-K – 01 Elementary
👥
175 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

ATKINS MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 5401 AVE U, LUBBOCK
👥
507 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BETTY M CONDRA SCHOOL FOR EDUCATION INNOVATION

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
📍 1421 9TH ST, LUBBOCK
👥
174 Students
👨‍🏫
7.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,978 Per Student
B+ Above Average

OVERTON EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 2902 LOUISVILLE, LUBBOCK
👥
255 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

WHEELOCK EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 3008 42ND ST, LUBBOCK
👥
298 Students
👨‍🏫
12.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BAYLESS EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 2115 58TH ST, LUBBOCK
👥
465 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 1,467 Off-Campus Students
B
Texas Tech University
40,773 students · 1.3 mi
D
Texas Tech University System Administration
0 students · 2.2 mi
C
Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center
4,890 students · 2.4 mi
D
Wade Gordon Hairdressing Academy-Lubbock
101 students · 3.2 mi
C
Texas College of Cosmetology-Lubbock
89 students · 3.9 mi
C
Lubbock Christian University
1,589 students · 4.4 mi
C
Covenant School of Nursing and Allied Health
333 students · 4.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,467 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Lubbock, TX?

Median home price in Lubbock, TX is near $101K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been even-keeled and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

What investment strategy works best in Lubbock, TX?

Most investors in Lubbock, TX run a value-add and BRRRR deals strategy. It aligns with the 4.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

How close is Lubbock, TX to meeting the 1% rule?

With rents of $1,039/mo on $101K homes, Lubbock, TX close to the 1% rule for most properties. The actual rent-to-price ratio is 1.03%.

Is Lubbock, TX a good place for real estate investing?

Lubbock, TX comes in at an investability rating of 4.0/5, with median home values near $101K and average rents around $1,039/mo. That combination puts it in the substantial tier for investor interest.

Is Lubbock, TX a viable BRRRR market?

BRRRR viability in Lubbock, TX is a strong. Disciplined acquisition and rehab can hit the 75% LTV refinance target at market comps.

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How 79411 ranks in Lubbock, TX

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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