Real Estate Investing in Lubbock, Texas (79412)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lubbock County • Population: 15,275 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 79412 (Lubbock, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (74/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (57/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.6% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Lubbock, TX (79412)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $120,097
Avg Monthly Rent $1,040
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $44,610
% Renters 50.7%

Market Analysis: 79412 Lubbock

The 79412 ZIP covers a section of Lubbock that demands careful diligence. Prices near $120K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

For an experienced owner, 79412 can be a worth a close look for hunting ground — but the discount at $120K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Nearby ZIPs in Lubbock have seen price recovery that 79412 has not matched. Lubbock County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

A notable renter share of 51% in 79412 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

New investors are better served looking at Lubbock's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 79412. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lubbock:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,040/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lubbock, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lubbock, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 79412

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
10.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+4.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$38,862/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $77,725 $1,080 10.0% +3.8% $38,862
3BR $126,835 $1,500 8.5% +3.1% $42,278
4BR $173,106 $1,760 7.3% +4.3% $43,277

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$136K$123K$109K$96K$83K$69KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,138$1,082$1,026$969$913$857Mar 2023Nov 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 79412 Compare?

Metric 79412 Lubbock Lubbock, TX Texas
Home Value $120,097 $94,293 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 1.5% 2.6% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,040 $1,217 N/A -
Cap Rate 6.8% 6.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 79412? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

51% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 79412 (Lubbock, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
6.8%
Good
5yr Growth
+1.5%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lubbock, TX metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
55%
Days Pending
2/2
64 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $120,097
Monthly Rent $1,040
Price-to-Rent 9.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 10.4%
Cap Rate 6.8%
5-Year IRR 8.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR -2.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +14.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Neutral Leverage Cap Rate: 6.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage is roughly neutral here.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) is close to the estimated cap rate (6.8%). Financing this market at current rates produces a cash-on-cash return near the cap rate. Appreciation and tax benefits may still support the investment.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.6%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.5%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 79412

Population: 15,275

💰 Median Household Income
$44,610
This area
$44,610
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
50.7%
This area
50.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.0%
This area
3.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.9%
This area
12.9%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.1 years
This area
34.1 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.6%
This area
9.6%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 53.4%
Other/Mixed 36.5%
Hispanic/Latino 32.5%
Black/African American 10.1%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
28.7%
This area
28.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.8%
This area
13.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.6%
This area
15.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 79412

C+ Avg School Grade
8 Schools
16.1:1 Avg Class Size
$12,346 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

ATKINS MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
507 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BAYLESS EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
465 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BROWN EL

📚 04 – 05 Elementary
👥
104 Students
👨‍🏫
7.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

HODGES EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
267 Students
👨‍🏫
10.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
C+ Average

BROWN EL

📚 Pre-K – 03 Elementary
👥
291 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

PREMIER H S - LUBBOCK (BRIERCROFT)

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
107 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
💰
$7,056 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY LUBBOCK

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
134 Students
👨‍🏫
23.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,683 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-LUBBOCK

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
171 Students
👨‍🏫
26.4:1 Class Size
💰
$11,051 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

SLATON MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 1602 32ND ST, LUBBOCK
👥
321 Students
👨‍🏫
10.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BEAN EL

📚 02 – 05 Elementary
📍 3001 AVE N, LUBBOCK
👥
280 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

BETTY M CONDRA SCHOOL FOR EDUCATION INNOVATION

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
📍 1421 9TH ST, LUBBOCK
👥
174 Students
👨‍🏫
7.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,978 Per Student
B+ Above Average

OVERTON EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 2902 LOUISVILLE, LUBBOCK
👥
255 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

WHEELOCK EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 3008 42ND ST, LUBBOCK
👥
298 Students
👨‍🏫
12.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 1,467 Off-Campus Students
D
Wade Gordon Hairdressing Academy-Lubbock
101 students · 1.6 mi
B
Texas Tech University
40,773 students · 2.7 mi
D
Texas Tech University System Administration
0 students · 3.1 mi
C
Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center
4,890 students · 3.6 mi
C
Texas College of Cosmetology-Lubbock
89 students · 4.0 mi
C
Lubbock Christian University
1,589 students · 4.9 mi
C
Covenant School of Nursing and Allied Health
333 students · 5.0 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,467 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is real estate in Lubbock, TX a good investment right now?

Our data puts Lubbock, TX at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $120K and rents around $1,040/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

What is the smart move for investors in Lubbock, TX?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Lubbock, TX. With home values at $120K and rents near $1,040/mo, other strategies can work but produce reliable rather than outsized returns.

What is the typical renter like in Lubbock, TX?

Tenant demand in Lubbock, TX is solid. The local workforce $1,040/mo rents across most rental classes.

Is Lubbock, TX suited for a house hack?

House hacking in Lubbock, TX is reasonable to execute. Prices around $120K and rents of $1,040/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

What do rentals go for in Lubbock, TX?

Lubbock, TX rentals go for roughly $1,040/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $120K acquisition costs.

You know 79412 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 79412 ranks in Lubbock, TX

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Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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