Real Estate Investing in Lubbock, Texas (79404)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lubbock County • Population: 8,686 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 79404 (Lubbock, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
STRONG
5.0 / 5 (100/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 22.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 24.4% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

What’s happening in Lubbock, TX (79404)?

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5.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

5.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $101,651
Avg Monthly Rent $1,143
1% Rule ✓ Meets
Median Income $45,653
% Renters 33.2%

Market Analysis: 79404 Lubbock

ZIP 79404 inside Lubbock, TX leans into a value-add thesis. Home values near $102K sit below the state median, and rents of $1,143/mo leave room for forced-equity plays.

In 79404, the deal is made on the buy and on the capex. sturdy entry prices of $102K leave room in the budget for light-to-medium renovation, with rent lift to match.

Comparing Lubbock submarkets, ZIP 79404 offers an entry cost that most surrounding neighborhoods have moved past. The substantial delta is the opportunity.

A renter-heavy, wage-earner demographic anchors 79404. Value-add players rely on that mix — the 33% share is both the tenant source and the buyer pool for future owner-occupied exits.

Flippers with local expertise can do well in 79404. Out-of-state investors should partner with boots-on-the-ground operators or skip the ZIP entirely.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lubbock:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 77/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,143/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lubbock, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lubbock, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 79404

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
12.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+4.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$30,602/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $61,203 $1,080 12.7% +3.3% $30,602
3BR $101,598 $1,500 10.6% +3.1% $33,866
4BR $220,498 $1,760 5.7% +4.3% $55,125

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$107K$96K$86K$75K$64K$54KJun 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,160$1,112$1,064$1,016$969$921Oct 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 79404 Compare?

Metric 79404 Lubbock Lubbock, TX Texas
Home Value $101,651 $94,293 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.1% 2.6% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,143 $1,217 N/A -
Cap Rate 8.8% 6.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 79404? Click to expand

This ZIP code meets the 1% rule with rent at $1,143/mo on homes averaging $101,651 — a strong indicator of cash flow potential.

Our analysis gives this area a 5/5 investability rating, placing it in the top tier for rental property potential.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 79404 (Lubbock, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Excellent
Cap Rate
8.8%
Excellent
5yr Growth
+3.1%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Lubbock, TX metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
55%
Days Pending
2/2
64 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $101,651
Monthly Rent $1,143
Price-to-Rent 7.4:1
1% Rule ✓ Passes

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 13.5%
Cap Rate 8.8%
5-Year IRR 11.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Positive Leverage Market Cap Rate: 8.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage may enhance returns here.

The estimated cap rate (8.8%) exceeds the current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%). When borrowing costs less than a property yields, leverage can increase your cash-on-cash return above the cap rate.

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 79404

Population: 8,686

💰 Median Household Income
$45,653
This area
$45,653
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
33.2%
This area
33.2%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.9%
This area
2.9%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.0%
This area
14.0%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.2 years
This area
40.2 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.9%
This area
22.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 46.3%
Other/Mixed 30.8%
Hispanic/Latino 27.3%
Black/African American 22.0%
Asian 0.9%
👶 Under 18
21.3%
This area
21.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.9%
This area
14.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
24.4%
This area
24.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 79404

B+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
10.9:1 Avg Class Size
$13,995 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

DUNBAR COLLEGE PREPARATORY ACADEMY

📚 06 – 08 Middle Charter
👥
382 Students
👨‍🏫
10.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

HARWELL EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
385 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ERVIN EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
399 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
B Good

PRIORITY INTERVENTION ACADEMY

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
108 Students
👨‍🏫
7.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,995 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 1,467 Off-Campus Students
D
Wade Gordon Hairdressing Academy-Lubbock
101 students · 4.1 mi
B
Texas Tech University
40,773 students · 5.9 mi
D
Texas Tech University System Administration
0 students · 6.6 mi
C
Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center
4,890 students · 6.9 mi
C
Texas College of Cosmetology-Lubbock
89 students · 7.6 mi
C
Lubbock Christian University
1,589 students · 8.5 mi
C
Covenant School of Nursing and Allied Health
333 students · 8.7 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,467 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which investment style suits Lubbock, TX?

Lubbock, TX investors pursuing value-add and BRRRR deals. The underlying economics ($102K prices, $1,143/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is Lubbock, TX good for BRRRR investors?

BRRRR works a strong in Lubbock, TX. With $102K ARVs and $1,143/mo rents, investors who buy right can refinance out most of their capital.

Does Lubbock, TX meet the 1% rule for rental property?

With $1,143/mo rents against $102K home prices, Lubbock, TX produces a 1.12% ratio. That is reasonable proximity to the 1% threshold.

What kind of market is Lubbock, TX for investors?

The 5.0/5 investability rating in Lubbock, TX reflects its $102K prices and $1,143/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TX.

How viable is house hacking in Lubbock, TX?

House hacking works an attractive in Lubbock, TX. Rents of $1,143/mo against $102K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

You know 79404 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 79404 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 79404 ranks in Lubbock, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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