Real Estate Investing in Natalia, Texas (78059)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 78059 (Natalia, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.
A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.
- Elevated vacancy: 10.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
- High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 27.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.
• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.
What’s happening in Natalia, TX (78059)?
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Market Analysis: 78059 Natalia
In practical terms, ZIP 78059 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $320K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.
The investment case in 78059 is robust only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $320K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.
The gap between 78059 and stronger Natalia ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.
Employment concentration in 78059 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.
Strategy in 78059 is an operator game, not a passive one. Stepping back, entry prices of $320K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Natalia:
Property Strategy for 78059
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3BR | $379,735 | $1,420 | 2.7% | +6.9% | $126,578 |
| 4BR | $450,417 | $1,430 | 2.3% | — | $112,604 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 78059 Compare?
| Metric | 78059 | Natalia | San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX | Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $320,299 | $277,256 | N/A | $297,000 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 2.1% | 1.2% | N/A | 5.4% |
| Avg Rent | $972 | $1,080 | N/A | - |
| Cap Rate | 2.4% | 3.2% | - | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
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Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78059 (Natalia, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $320,299 |
| Monthly Rent | $972 |
| Price-to-Rent | 27.5:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 3.6% |
| Cap Rate | 2.4% |
| 5-Year IRR | 4.5% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | +2.2% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +1.5% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +2.1% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +5.6% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | N/A |
| 3-Year CAGR | N/A |
| 5-Year CAGR | N/A |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 78059
Population: 6,139
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 78059
Schools in This ZIP Code
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does Natalia, TX rate as a rental market?
Investors tracking Natalia, TX will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $320K median home values and $972/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting steady returns.
How do home values compare in Natalia, TX?
The median home value in Natalia, TX is roughly $320K. That puts it reasonable relative to the TX statewide average.
What is the typical rental rate in Natalia, TX?
Expect rents around $972/mo per month in Natalia, TX. With home values at $320K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.
How tight is the rental market in Natalia, TX?
Vacancy in Natalia, TX is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $972/mo.
How deep is the rental pool in Natalia, TX?
Natalia, TX draws a even-keeled base of working renters. Demand at the $972/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.
You know 78059 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 78059 ranks in San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
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