Real Estate Investing in Manvel, Texas (77578)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Brazoria County • Population: 27,195 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 77578 (Manvel, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (59/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.2% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Manvel, TX (77578)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $443,103
Avg Monthly Rent $2,013
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $126,498
% Renters 16.2%

Market Analysis: 77578 Manvel

ZIP 77578 in Manvel, TX carries a healthy set of headwinds. Home values near $443K and rents of $2,013/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 77578 comes in at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 77578's metrics run below Brazoria County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 77578 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. notable returns are possible in 77578, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Manvel:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 76/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,013/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
79 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 77578

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$113,503/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $347,998 $2,120 4.4% +6.6% $115,999
4BR $454,013 $2,630 4.2% +6.3% $113,503
5BR $590,384 +6.6% $118,077

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$464K$412K$359K$306K$254K$201KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,099$2,022$1,944$1,867$1,789$1,711Jan 2023Oct 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 77578 Compare?

Metric 77578 Manvel Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Texas
Home Value $443,103 $443,103 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.5% 3.5% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $2,013 $2,013 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 77578? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 77578 (Manvel, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.5%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $443,103
Monthly Rent $2,013
Price-to-Rent 18.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 7.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +3.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 77578

Population: 27,195

💰 Median Household Income
$126,498
This area
$126,498
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.2%
This area
16.2%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
39.2%
This area
39.2%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.5 years
This area
37.5 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.2%
This area
9.2%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 47.0%
Black/African American 25.7%
Other/Mixed 18.3%
Hispanic/Latino 14.8%
Asian 9.0%
👶 Under 18
26.2%
This area
26.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.3%
This area
10.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.2%
This area
4.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 77578

B+ Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.9:1 Avg Class Size
$15,620 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

RODEO PALMS J H

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
797 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B+ Above Average

MANVEL J H

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
832 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B+ Above Average

POMONA EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
782 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B+ Above Average

RED DUKE EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
722 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B+ Above Average

E C MASON EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
802 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B+ Above Average

JACKIE DOUCET CAFFEY J H

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
927 Students
👨‍🏫
17.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ADAPT

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
112 Students
👨‍🏫
10.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
B Good

MANVEL H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,540 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,620 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 2,087 Off-Campus Students
C
Pearlands Innovative School of Beauty
84 students · 5.5 mi
C+
Alvin Community College
5,830 students · 9.5 mi
C
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Houston
281 students · 13.5 mi
C
College of Health Care Professions
529 students · 14.2 mi
D
Houston Graduate School of Theology
0 students · 14.4 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Clear Lake
129 students · 14.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,087 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do home values compare in Manvel, TX?

Manvel, TX median home values land near $443K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,013/mo-per-month rentals.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Manvel, TX?

Landlord-friendliness in Manvel, TX is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What is the investability score for Manvel, TX?

Manvel, TX scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $443K and rents near $2,013/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

How do experienced investors play Manvel, TX?

In Manvel, TX the sturdy play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $443K prices and $2,013/mo rents suits that approach.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Manvel, TX?

Manvel, TX offers a measured renter base at the $2,013/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

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How 77578 ranks in Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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