Real Estate Investing in Orchard, Texas (77464)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fort Bend County • Population: 457 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 77464 (Orchard, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.1% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Orchard, TX (77464)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $315,291
Avg Monthly Rent $1,251
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $54,583
% Renters 54.9%

Market Analysis: 77464 Orchard

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Orchard's 77464 ZIP registers signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $315K pricing implies.

The investment case in 77464 is solid only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $315K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Regionally, 77464 sits on the difficult end of the TX spectrum. The a credible choice for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Demographically, 77464 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. durable returns are possible in 77464, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Orchard:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,251/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
79 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$331K$301K$270K$239K$208K$177KFeb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 77464 Compare?

Metric 77464 Orchard Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Texas
Home Value $315,291 $315,291 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 4.4% 4.4% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,251 $1,251 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.1% 3.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 77464? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

55% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 77464 (Orchard, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.4%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $315,291
Monthly Rent $1,251
Price-to-Rent 21.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.8%
Cap Rate 3.1%
5-Year IRR 7.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 77464

Population: 457

💰 Median Household Income
$54,583
This area
$54,583
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
54.9%
This area
54.9%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
5.4%
This area
5.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.8 years
This area
31.8 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.1%
This area
8.1%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 78.3%
Other/Mixed 20.4%
Hispanic/Latino 20.2%
Black/African American 1.2%
👶 Under 18
21.4%
This area
21.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.5%
This area
25.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 77464

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
14.2:1 Avg Class Size
$15,238 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

BRAZOS EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
340 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,238 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What approach is best for Orchard, TX real estate?

Most investors in Orchard, TX run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

What are rental rates like in Orchard, TX?

Expect rents around $1,251/mo per month in Orchard, TX. With home values at $315K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

Is TX a landlord-friendly state?

For rental operators, Orchard, TX rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

How high is vacancy risk in Orchard, TX?

Orchard, TX vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Is Orchard, TX good for house hacking?

House hacking in Orchard, TX is reasonable to execute. Prices around $315K and rents of $1,251/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

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How 77464 ranks in Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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