Real Estate Investing in Covington, Texas (76636)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hill County • Population: 1,678 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76636 (Covington, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (44/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.9% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 33.0 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Covington, TX (76636)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $346,037
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $66,917
% Renters 9.0%

Market Analysis: 76636 Covington

Put differently, ZIP 76636 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $346K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 76636 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Within TX, ZIP 76636 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Hill County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and robust enough to shape underwriting.

A impressive renter share of 9% in 76636 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategy in 76636 is an operator game, not a passive one. Put differently, entry prices of $346K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Covington:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.2× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$386K$330K$273K$217K$161K$104KAug 2009Feb 2018Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76636 Compare?

Metric 76636 Covington Texas
Home Value $346,037 $346,037 $297,000
5-Year CAGR 3.4% 3.4% 5.4%
Avg Rent $873 $873 -
Cap Rate 2.0% 2.0% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76636 (Covington, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.4%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $346,037
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 33.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.0%
Cap Rate 2.0%
5-Year IRR 5.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.9%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76636

Population: 1,678

💰 Median Household Income
$66,917
This area
$66,917
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
9.0%
This area
9.0%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.4%
This area
15.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.6 years
This area
39.6 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.9%
This area
9.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 87.7%
Other/Mixed 11.3%
Hispanic/Latino 9.6%
Asian 1.0%
👶 Under 18
23.7%
This area
23.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.0%
This area
17.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76636

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
13.1:1 Avg Class Size
$26,106 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

COVINGTON SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
334 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$26,106 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Covington, TX rate as a rental market?

Our data puts Covington, TX at 2.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $346K and rents around $873/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

How landlord-friendly is Covington, TX?

TX ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Covington generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Covington, TX?

Covington, TX carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect measured absorption at market rents of $873/mo.

Does a duplex house hack pencil in Covington, TX?

House hacking works a challenging in Covington, TX. Rents of $873/mo against $346K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

What is the average monthly rent in Covington, TX?

Investors in Covington, TX typically see rents near $873/mo per month against $346K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

You know 76636 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 76636 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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