Real Estate Investing in Black Earth, Wisconsin (53515)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Dane County • Population: 2,635 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 53515 (Black Earth, WI)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (64/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 31.1 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Black Earth, WI (53515)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $446,254
Avg Monthly Rent $1,197
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $81,324
% Renters 17.1%

Market Analysis: 53515 Black Earth

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Black Earth's 53515 ZIP shows signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $446K pricing implies.

The investment case in 53515 is notable only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $446K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

The gap between 53515 and stronger Black Earth ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Meanwhile, 2,635 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

The 53515 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Black Earth:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,197/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Madison, WI Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
36 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Madison, WI metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$465K$411K$357K$302K$248K$194KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 53515 Compare?

Metric 53515 Black Earth Madison, WI Wisconsin
Home Value $446,254 $446,254 N/A $320,446
5-Year CAGR 5.7% 5.7% N/A 7.3%
Avg Rent $1,197 $1,197 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.1% 2.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 53515? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 53515 (Black Earth, WI). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Dane County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Evans Property Management Services, LLC (PRIMA™) offers pet-friendly apartments and rentals in and around Madison, WI. summary from their website

Small multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Kader Property Management offers residential and multi-family property management services in Madison. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Madison Property offers apartments and housing for rent in Madison, WI. summary from their website

Small multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.7%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Madison, WI metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
32%
Days Pending
0/2
36 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $446,254
Monthly Rent $1,197
Price-to-Rent 31.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.2%
Cap Rate 2.1%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 53515

Population: 2,635

💰 Median Household Income
$81,324
This area
$81,324
State
$73,177
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.1%
This area
17.1%
State
22.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.1%
This area
2.1%
State
-1.8%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
33.6%
This area
33.6%
State
17.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.9 years
This area
48.9 years
State
35.3 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
17.1%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.2%
Other/Mixed 3.8%
Hispanic/Latino 2.0%
Asian 0.9%
Black/African American 0.1%
👶 Under 18
19.4%
This area
19.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
28.7%
This area
28.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby
D
Paul Mitchell the School-Madison
52 students · 12.9 mi
C
East-West Healing Arts Institute
44 students · 13.7 mi
C
Academy of Beauty Professionals
65 students · 13.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How tight is the rental market in Black Earth, WI?

Vacancy risk in Black Earth, WI is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

What is the renter demographic in Black Earth, WI?

Black Earth, WI offers a measured renter base at the $1,197/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Is Black Earth, WI better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

Black Earth, WI investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($446K prices, $1,197/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is WI a landlord-friendly state?

The landlord environment in Black Earth, WI is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Black Earth, WI?

Expect median prices around $446K in Black Earth, WI. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been stable.

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How 53515 ranks in Madison, WI

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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