Real Estate Investing in Transfer, Pennsylvania (16154)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Mercer County • Population: 2,351 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16154 (Transfer, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (55/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Declining values: -1.0% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.4% in the last year.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Transfer, PA (16154)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $217,556
Avg Monthly Rent $882
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $54,635
% Renters 6.6%

Market Analysis: 16154 Transfer

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Transfer's 16154 ZIP records signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $218K pricing implies.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 16154 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

ZIP 16154's metrics run below Mercer County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The demographic picture in 16154 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Transfer averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

The 16154 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Transfer:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 50/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $882/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$255K$237K$219K$201K$182K$164KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16154 Compare?

Metric 16154 Transfer Pennsylvania
Home Value $217,556 $217,556 $278,018
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $882 $882 -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.2% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16154 (Transfer, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
-1.0%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $217,556
Monthly Rent $882
Price-to-Rent 20.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.9%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 2.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.0% ▼
5-Year CAGR -1.0% ▼
10-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-1.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16154

Population: 2,351

💰 Median Household Income
$54,635
This area
$54,635
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
6.6%
This area
6.6%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
21.4%
This area
21.4%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.7 years
This area
54.7 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.7%
Other/Mixed 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 2.6%
👶 Under 18
12.0%
This area
12.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
30.8%
This area
30.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.2%
This area
5.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16154

Nearby Schools (3 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

Sharpsville Area SHS

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 301 Blue Devil Way, Sharpsville
👥
345 Students
👨‍🏫
8.7:1 Class Size
💰
$16,908 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Sharpsville Area MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 303 Blue Devil Way, Sharpsville
👥
231 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$16,908 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Sharpsville Area El Sch

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 100 Hittle Drive, Sharpsville
👥
448 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$16,908 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 145 Off-Campus Students
C
Thiel College
920 students · 6.4 mi
C
Sharon Regional School of Nursing
37 students · 7.5 mi
C
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Shenango
332 students · 7.7 mi
C
Laurel Technical Institute
160 students · 9.6 mi
D
Mercer County Career Center
0 students · 10.3 mi
C
Westminster College
1,203 students · 15.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Where do rents currently stand in Transfer, PA?

Investors in Transfer, PA typically see rents near $882/mo per month against $218K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Are renters plentiful in Transfer, PA?

Working renters make up the core of the Transfer, PA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Is Transfer, PA better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

Transfer, PA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($218K prices, $882/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Does Transfer, PA favor landlords or tenants?

Transfer, PA operates under PA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How tight is the rental market in Transfer, PA?

Vacancy risk in Transfer, PA is elevated. That supports even-keeled cash flow for typical rental holds.

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How 16154 ranks in Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA

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