Real Estate Investing in Lagunitas, California (94933)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Marin County • Population: 1,255 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 94933 (Lagunitas, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (40/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Declining values: -0.1% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Lagunitas, CA (94933)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $901,097
Avg Monthly Rent $3,744
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $116,953
% Renters 32.4%

Market Analysis: 94933 Lagunitas

The 94933 ZIP in Lagunitas, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $901K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

For an experienced owner, 94933 can be a a strong candidate for hunting ground — but the discount at $901K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Regionally, 94933 sits on the difficult end of the CA spectrum. The a strong candidate for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The demographic picture in 94933 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Lagunitas averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 94933 is an operator game, not a passive one. Turning to rents, entry prices of $901K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lagunitas:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 40/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,744/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94933

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+3.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$344,091/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $784,507 $4,160 3.8% -0.5% $392,253
3BR $1,032,272 $5,310 3.7% +3.2% $344,091

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.0M$895K$755K$615K$475K$335KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94933 Compare?

Metric 94933 Lagunitas San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $901,097 $1,110,491 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A 0.5% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $3,744 $3,506 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.2% 2.6% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94933 (Lagunitas, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Marin County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Foundation Homes Property Management provides performance-built property management for luxury homes in Marin County and beyond. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Marshall & Co. Property Management offers owner and resident services, including lease-only options, for residential and commercial rentals. summary from their website

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PRANDI Property Management is Marin County's only Certified Residential Management Company, focusing on quality tenants and homes. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.1%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $901,097
Monthly Rent $3,744
Price-to-Rent 20.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 3.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR -0.1% ▼
10-Year CAGR +3.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94933

Population: 1,255

💰 Median Household Income
$116,953
This area
$116,953
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
32.4%
This area
32.4%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
49.2%
This area
49.2%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
49.5 years
This area
49.5 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 61.7%
Other/Mixed 26.0%
Hispanic/Latino 16.1%
Asian 6.3%
Black/African American 6.1%
👶 Under 18
15.0%
This area
15.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
28.1%
This area
28.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.3%
This area
5.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94933

Nearby Schools (2 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B+ Above Average

Lagunitas Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
📍 One Lagunitas School Rd., San Geronimo
👥
80 Students
👨‍🏫
17.3:1 Class Size
💰
$25,122 Per Student
B Good

San Geronimo Valley Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
📍 One Lagunitas School Rd., San Geronimo
👥
82 Students
👨‍🏫
20.5:1 Class Size
💰
$25,122 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 3,252 Off-Campus Students
C
College of Marin
4,673 students · 8.8 mi
C+
Dominican University of California
2,026 students · 9.9 mi
D
Meridian University
226 students · 15.0 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,252 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What type of investing works in Lagunitas, CA?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Lagunitas, CA best. The market produces consistent results for that approach at the $901K price point.

Are renters plentiful in Lagunitas, CA?

Lagunitas, CA draws a steady base of working renters. Demand at the $3,744/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How do home values compare in Lagunitas, CA?

Homes in Lagunitas, CA typically sell near $901K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which consistent long-term demand.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Lagunitas, CA?

Rental vacancy in Lagunitas, CA is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

Is Lagunitas, CA landlord-friendly?

CA ranks as a tenant-protective state for landlord-tenant law. Lagunitas generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

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How 94933 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

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