Real Estate Investing in San Rafael, California (94903)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Marin County • Population: 31,135 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 94903 (San Rafael, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (42/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 32.3 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in San Rafael, CA (94903)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,267,482
Avg Monthly Rent $3,268
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $131,172
% Renters 35.2%

Market Analysis: 94903 San Rafael

From a cash-flow lens, ZIP 94903 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $1.3M median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 94903 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

The gap between 94903 and stronger San Rafael ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 94903 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. resilient returns are possible in 94903, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in San Rafael:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 50/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 9.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $3,268/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94903

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
6.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$292,579/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $406,160 $3,450 6.1% -3.4% $406,160
2BR $585,158 $4,180 5.1% -0.6% $292,579
3BR $1,152,234 $5,340 3.3% +4.2% $384,078
4BR $1,476,951 $5,530 2.7% +4.9% $369,238
5BR $1,770,603 +5.4% $354,121

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.4M$1.2M$980K$781K$582K$383KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,530$3,346$3,162$2,978$2,794$2,610Apr 2020Jun 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94903 Compare?

Metric 94903 San Rafael San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $1,267,482 $1,340,484 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 2.0% 1.6% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $3,268 $3,076 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.0% 1.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 94903? Click to expand

A healthy rental market with 35% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94903 (San Rafael, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Marin County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Foundation Homes Property Management provides performance-built property management for luxury homes in Marin County and beyond. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Marshall & Co. Property Management offers owner and resident services, including lease-only options, for residential and commercial rentals. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

PRANDI Property Management is Marin County's only Certified Residential Management Company, focusing on quality tenants and homes. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.0%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,267,482
Monthly Rent $3,268
Price-to-Rent 32.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.1%
Cap Rate 2.0%
5-Year IRR 4.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -5.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94903

Population: 31,135

💰 Median Household Income
$131,172
This area
$131,172
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
35.2%
This area
35.2%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
54.2%
This area
54.2%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.8 years
This area
48.8 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.9%
Other/Mixed 20.6%
Hispanic/Latino 15.8%
Asian 7.5%
Black/African American 3.0%
👶 Under 18
16.0%
This area
16.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.6%
This area
25.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.0%
This area
3.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94903

B+ Avg School Grade
11 Schools
16.7:1 Avg Class Size
$98,191 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Marin County Special Education

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
225 Students
👨‍🏫
7.0:1 Class Size
💰
$234,153 Per Student
A Very Good

Miller Creek Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
593 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$17,881 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Marin County Juvenile Court

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
5 Students
👨‍🏫
5.0:1 Class Size
💰
$234,153 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Venetia Valley K-8

📚 K – 08 School
👥
771 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$19,777 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Phoenix Academy

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
10 Students
👨‍🏫
3.9:1 Class Size
💰
$234,153 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Terra Linda High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,205 Students
👨‍🏫
20.6:1 Class Size
💰
$32,413 Per Student
B Good

Lucas Valley Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
364 Students
👨‍🏫
24.3:1 Class Size
💰
$17,881 Per Student
B Good

Mary E. Silveira Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
437 Students
👨‍🏫
24.3:1 Class Size
💰
$17,881 Per Student
B Good

Vallecito Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
412 Students
👨‍🏫
22.9:1 Class Size
💰
$17,881 Per Student
B Good

Old Gallinas

📚 Grade M Elementary Limited Data
💰
$19,777 Per Student
C+ Average

Marin's Community

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
61 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$234,153 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 5,111 Off-Campus Students
C+
Dominican University of California
2,026 students · 3.7 mi
C
College of Marin
4,673 students · 5.0 mi
C
Contra Costa College
5,997 students · 12.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 5,111 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors consider San Rafael, CA?

The 2.0/5 investability rating in San Rafael, CA reflects its $1.3M prices and $3,268/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within CA.

What kind of tenants rent in San Rafael, CA?

Tenant quality in San Rafael, CA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report stable occupancy at market rents of $3,268/mo.

What do rentals go for in San Rafael, CA?

Average rent in San Rafael, CA is approximately $3,268/mo per month. Against $1.3M home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Are eviction rules reasonable in San Rafael, CA?

San Rafael, CA falls under CA landlord-tenant law, which is tenant-protective. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

Are there empty rentals in San Rafael, CA?

San Rafael, CA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader CA rental market.

You know 94903 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 94903 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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