Real Estate Investing in Marana, Arizona (85653)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pima County • Population: 22,796 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85653 (Marana, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.6% in the last year.

What’s happening in Marana, AZ (85653)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $371,333
Avg Monthly Rent $2,178
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $80,851
% Renters 18.3%

Market Analysis: 85653 Marana

The 85653 ZIP in Marana, AZ is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $371K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Stepping back, the numbers look inviting — $371K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 85653 is substantial and deserves full respect.

From an investor standpoint, 85653 offers a low basis, the region around Marana has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Who lives in 85653 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The 85653 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Marana:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,178/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Tucson, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
70 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tucson, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85653

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$89,772/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $367,023 $1,620 3.2% +7.4% $183,511
3BR $350,994 $2,250 4.6% +7.3% $116,998
4BR $394,520 $2,590 4.7% +7.1% $98,630
5BR $448,860 +6.8% $89,772

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$418K$357K$296K$236K$175K$114KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,277$2,194$2,111$2,028$1,944$1,861Jan 2023Oct 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85653 Compare?

Metric 85653 Marana Tucson, AZ Arizona
Home Value $371,333 $451,426 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 2.9% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $2,178 $2,213 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.6% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85653? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85653 (Marana, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Pima County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Fort Lowell Realty & Property Management provides realty and property management services in Tucson. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

WilsonPs.com is a domain name for sale. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Tucson, AZ metro

3/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
57%
Days Pending
2/2
70 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $371,333
Monthly Rent $2,178
Price-to-Rent 14.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.0%
Cap Rate 4.6%
5-Year IRR 7.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +4.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85653

Population: 22,796

💰 Median Household Income
$80,851
This area
$80,851
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
18.3%
This area
18.3%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.1%
This area
3.1%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
26.6%
This area
26.6%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.8 years
This area
36.8 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 78.2%
Other/Mixed 16.4%
Hispanic/Latino 10.3%
Black/African American 3.9%
Asian 1.5%
👶 Under 18
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.0%
This area
13.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.3%
This area
8.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85653

C+ Avg School Grade
9 Schools
14.8:1 Avg Class Size
$19,341 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Marjorie W Estes Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
578 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,246 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Roadrunner Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
375 Students
👨‍🏫
12.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,246 Per Student
B Good

Gladden Farms Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
747 Students
👨‍🏫
16.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,246 Per Student
B Good

PCJTED - MCAT School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$85,487 Per Student
B Good

Marana Middle School

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
924 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,246 Per Student
C+ Average

MCAT High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
163 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,246 Per Student
C+ Average

A. C. E.

📚 07 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$11,246 Per Student
C Below Average

Marana Distance Learning

📚 K – 12 K-12 Limited Data
👥
62 Students
💰
$11,246 Per Student
C Below Average

La Paloma Academy Marana

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
115 Students
💰
$9,859 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which investment style suits Marana, AZ?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Marana, AZ best. The market produces measured results for that approach at the $371K price point.

What is the average monthly rent in Marana, AZ?

Rent in Marana, AZ is around $2,178/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $371K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

Are renters plentiful in Marana, AZ?

Working renters make up the core of the Marana, AZ tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Marana, AZ?

Marana, AZ sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader AZ rental market.

How viable is house hacking in Marana, AZ?

The house hack math a challenging in Marana, AZ. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,178/mo rents and $371K home values.

You know 85653 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 85653 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 85653 ranks in Tucson, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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