Real Estate Investing in New Caney, Texas (77357)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Montgomery County • Population: 34,770 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 77357 (New Caney, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (54/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.2% CAGR).

What’s happening in New Caney, TX (77357)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $263,075
Avg Monthly Rent $1,803
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $69,521
% Renters 25.3%

Market Analysis: 77357 New Caney

The 77357 ZIP in New Caney, TX is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $263K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $263K asset, 77357 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Regionally, 77357 sits on the difficult end of the TX spectrum. The a credible choice for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Resident income in 77357 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategy in 77357 is an operator game, not a passive one. Meanwhile, entry prices of $263K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in New Caney:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,803/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
79 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 77357

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
6.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+8.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$71,094/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $179,651 $1,490 6.0% +8.1% $89,826
3BR $242,843 $2,000 5.9% +4.9% $80,948
4BR $284,376 $2,500 6.3% +4.3% $71,094
5BR $374,595 +4.4% $74,919

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$300K$263K$225K$188K$150K$113KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,924$1,895$1,866$1,837$1,808$1,779Jan 2024May 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 77357 Compare?

Metric 77357 New Caney Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Texas
Home Value $263,075 $263,075 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 1.2% 1.2% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,803 $1,803 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.3% 5.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 77357? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 77357 (New Caney, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Montgomery County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

RentLife Property Management offers property management services across Greater Houston, including Spring, Tomball, The Woodlands, Conroe, Hockley, Houston, Katy, Cypress, Kingwood, Humble, Magnolia, summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+1.2%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $263,075
Monthly Rent $1,803
Price-to-Rent 12.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.2%
Cap Rate 5.3%
5-Year IRR 6.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.6% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -4.7% ▼
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.9%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.2%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 77357

Population: 34,770

💰 Median Household Income
$69,521
This area
$69,521
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
25.3%
This area
25.3%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.2%
This area
13.2%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
30.8 years
This area
30.8 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.9%
This area
12.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 63.5%
Other/Mixed 33.2%
Hispanic/Latino 30.7%
Black/African American 3.2%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
28.9%
This area
28.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.9%
This area
8.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.3%
This area
10.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 77357

B Avg School Grade
9 Schools
14.5:1 Avg Class Size
$15,829 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

NEW CANEY EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
655 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
B+ Above Average

DOGWOOD EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
846 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
B+ Above Average

OAKLEY EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
813 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
B+ Above Average

THE LEARNING CTR

📚 04 – 12 High School
👥
104 Students
👨‍🏫
6.7:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
B Good

KEEFER CROSSING MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,255 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
B Good

TIMBER LAKES EL

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
782 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,565 Per Student
B Good

NEW CANEY H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,363 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
B Good

TAVOLA EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,038 Students
👨‍🏫
18.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,237 Per Student
C Below Average

PROJECT RESTORE

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
15 Students
💰
$16,237 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in New Caney, TX?

Typical homes in New Caney, TX go for around $263K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% reliable price movement.

How strong is tenant demand in New Caney, TX?

The renter base in New Caney, TX is reasonable for the $1,803/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields reliable tenants.

How quickly do rentals get leased in New Caney, TX?

New Caney, TX vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

What is it like being a landlord in New Caney, TX?

Rental owners in New Caney, TX deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What monthly rent should investors expect in New Caney, TX?

Rent in New Caney, TX is around $1,803/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $263K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

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How 77357 ranks in Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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