Real Estate Investing in Lincoln, Missouri (65338)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Benton County • Population: 3,403 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 65338 (Lincoln, MO)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 35.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Lincoln, MO (65338)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $203,641
Avg Monthly Rent $900
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,652
% Renters 21.8%

Market Analysis: 65338 Lincoln

The 65338 ZIP covers a section of Lincoln that demands careful diligence. Prices near $204K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Rent of $900/mo on a $204K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 65338 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Regionally, 65338 sits on the difficult end of the MO spectrum. The an appealing option for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Who lives in 65338 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. robust returns are possible in 65338, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lincoln:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $900/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$227K$194K$161K$128K$96K$63KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 65338 Compare?

Metric 65338 Lincoln Missouri
Home Value $203,641 $203,641 $254,657
5-Year CAGR 2.8% 2.8% 7.0%
Avg Rent $900 $900 -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 65338? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 65338 (Lincoln, MO). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $203,641
Monthly Rent $900
Price-to-Rent 18.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.3%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 6.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
35.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 65338

Population: 3,403

💰 Median Household Income
$57,652
This area
$57,652
State
$62,768
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.8%
This area
21.8%
State
23.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-8.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.0%
This area
14.0%
State
8.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.7 years
This area
39.7 years
State
20.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
35.1%
This area
35.1%
State
18.8%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.7%
Other/Mixed 3.0%
Black/African American 2.7%
Hispanic/Latino 2.1%
Asian 0.6%
👶 Under 18
24.2%
This area
24.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.7%
This area
19.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 65338

B+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
12.0:1 Avg Class Size
$12,459 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

LINCOLN ELEM.

📚 K – 06 School
👥
258 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$12,459 Per Student
B+ Above Average

LINCOLN HIGH

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
246 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$12,459 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How tight is the rental market in Lincoln, MO?

Vacancy risk in Lincoln, MO is elevated. That supports predictable cash flow for typical rental holds.

Is MO a landlord-friendly state?

Landlord-friendliness in Lincoln, MO is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Lincoln, MO?

Tenant demand in Lincoln, MO is solid. The local workforce $900/mo rents across most rental classes.

How much is rent in Lincoln, MO?

Rents in Lincoln, MO run near $900/mo. Compared with median home prices of $204K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Where do home prices stand in Lincoln, MO?

Lincoln, MO median home values land near $204K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $900/mo-per-month rentals.

You know 65338 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 65338 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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