Real Estate Investing in Johnson City, Tennessee (37615)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Washington County • Population: 22,013 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 37615 (Johnson City, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (67/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.0% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Johnson City, TN (37615)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $359,330
Avg Monthly Rent $1,900
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $74,161
% Renters 23.7%

Market Analysis: 37615 Johnson City

ZIP 37615 inside Washington County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $359K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 37615 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Within TN, ZIP 37615 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Washington County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and substantial enough to shape underwriting.

Demographically, 37615 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 37615 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Johnson City:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,900/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Johnson City, TN Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
40 days
Average time to sell
Average
12.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Johnson City, TN metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 37615

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+10.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$114,262/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $228,525 $1,230 3.9% +7.5% $114,262
3BR $353,241 $1,520 3.1% +9.4% $117,747
4BR $524,472 $1,680 2.3% +10.1% $131,118
5BR $776,716 +10.4% $155,343

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$375K$329K$284K$238K$192K$147KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,925$1,852$1,779$1,706$1,633$1,560Jan 2025Oct 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 37615 Compare?

Metric 37615 Johnson City Johnson City, TN Tennessee
Home Value $359,330 $114,441 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 6.5% 6.8% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,900 $1,565 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.1% 4.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 37615? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 37615 (Johnson City, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.5%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Johnson City, TN metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
64%
Days Pending
0/2
40 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $359,330
Monthly Rent $1,900
Price-to-Rent 15.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.3%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 10.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +6.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.0%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.5%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 37615

Population: 22,013

💰 Median Household Income
$74,161
This area
$74,161
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.7%
This area
23.7%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.5%
This area
2.5%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
41.2%
This area
41.2%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.0 years
This area
43.0 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.0%
This area
8.0%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.5%
Other/Mixed 4.4%
Black/African American 1.9%
Hispanic/Latino 1.7%
Asian 1.3%
👶 Under 18
18.4%
This area
18.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.0%
This area
20.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 37615

B Avg School Grade
4 Schools
14.5:1 Avg Class Size
$10,975 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Gray Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
498 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$10,975 Per Student
B Good

Ridgeview Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
788 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,975 Per Student
C+ Average

Daniel Boone High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,146 Students
👨‍🏫
13.6:1 Class Size
💰
$10,975 Per Student
C+ Average

Boones Creek Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
809 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,975 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

5 Nearby 3,773 Off-Campus Students
D
Ross Medical Education Center-Johnson City
67 students · 4.7 mi
C
Northeast State Community College
5,474 students · 6.5 mi
C
TC Beauty
139 students · 7.4 mi
C+
East Tennessee State University
13,586 students · 8.2 mi
C+
Milligan University
1,200 students · 11.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,773 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is vacancy risk in Johnson City, TN?

Vacancy risk in Johnson City, TN is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

How much rent can I charge in Johnson City, TN?

Johnson City, TN rentals go for roughly $1,900/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $359K acquisition costs.

Are renters plentiful in Johnson City, TN?

Working renters make up the core of the Johnson City, TN tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Johnson City, TN?

Johnson City, TN is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $359K price point reasonable to enter.

What is the investability score for Johnson City, TN?

Yes - Johnson City, TN a 3.0/5 investability score. With $359K home prices against $1,900/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

You know 37615 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 37615 ranks in Johnson City, TN

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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